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Ed Kilgore

Ed Kilgore

Daily Intelligencer

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Unhappy Trump Voters Are the Midterms Difference-Makers

Just a few weeks from the end of the 2026 midterm elections, there are all sorts of variables that could affect the outcome on the margins. There...

13.10.2026 6

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

With Livestream Killing, Hegseth Goes Full Barbarian

For a sizable majority of the world, capital punishment is a remnant of barbarism from an increasingly distant past. Its persistence in the United...

09.10.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Trump’s Vote-Buying Checks Are in the Mail

There is no better reflection of the purely transactional nature of Donald Trump’s politics than his love for buying Americans’ affections with...

08.10.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Ken Paxton Is Kicking the GOP Lifeguards Trying to Save Him

There are three central things to understand about the embattled U.S. Senate campaign of Texas attorney general Ken Paxton. The first is that his...

07.10.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Is Everything Suddenly Possible for Democrats?

Yes, we all know about the increasing possibility of a blue wave election in November. But the number and nature of states that could get caught up in...

07.10.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Like Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Alito Is Gambling on Outliving His Critics

One of many recent turning points in the history of the U.S. Supreme Court is something that did not happen a little more than a decade ago....

06.10.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

6 Midterms Takeaways With a Month to Go

We’re now past the one-month signpost for the 2026 midterm elections. Voting by mail is already underway in 21 states, and in-person early voting...

05.10.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

MAGA Can’t Let Go of Tricky Dick

Last month at the Midterm Republican Convention, Donald Trump asked the crowd to pledge allegiance to “the greatest president in the history of the...

04.10.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

GOP Saving the Unpopular Stuff for After the Election

Many eyebrows were raised by reports of a quiet word from the White House to the Justice Department concerning the pace of litigation aimed at...

03.10.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

How Low Can Trump Go?

Donald Trump’s job-approval numbers have steadily eroded throughout his second term as president. Per the Silver Bulletin polling averages, he hit...

02.10.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

The Biggest Sign Yet That Democrats Will Flip the House

In the small world of election handicappers, the Cook Political Report is more or less the OG, in business for 42 years. Like most OGs, the...

01.10.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Trump’s Midterms Convention Blew Up in Poor Ken Paxton’s Face

The best-case scenario for Donald Trump’s two-day midterm Republican convention in Dallas earlier this month would have been for it to be only a...

30.09.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Trump’s Campaign Schedule Is a Really Bad Sign for Republicans

For much of the 2026 midterm-election cycle, Donald Trump has maintained that keeping the MAGA base energized would be the key for Republicans seeking...

29.09.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

How Trump Will Claim Victory on Election Night

There’s naturally a lot of speculation in legal and journalistic circles about what exactly Donald Trump might do to change, deny, or challenge the...

28.09.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

It’s Not Just Peltola: How Congress Treats Its Serfs

When national media reports of a politician’s abusive behavior arise in the heat of a high-stakes election battle, it’s natural to wonder about...

27.09.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Supreme Court Voter-Roll Order Won’t Affect Midterms, But Look Out in 2028

People who rightly fear a last-minute Trump administration bid to skew the 2026 midterms may have had a moment of panic after seeing Friday’s U.S....

25.09.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Rise of the Red-State Democrats

Just 40 days from the end of midterm-election voting, it’s beginning to look like a cycle in which all things are possible for Democrats. Not too...

25.09.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Hasan Piker May Not Matter As Much As Republicans Want

To hear a lot of the chatter about the pivotal U.S. Senate race in Michigan this year, you’d think the election was more or less a referendum on...

24.09.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Wave or No Wave: Two Paths for the Midterms

Six weeks from the midterm elections (and a lot less than that from early voting, which is already underway in several states), experts and the...

22.09.2026 200

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Big Crypto Is Trying to Block Democrats’ Senate Dreams

The crypto lobby is going after the once and maybe future U.S. senator from Ohio Sherrod Brown with a tire iron, according to the New York Times: The...

21.09.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

California’s Landmark Wealth Tax May Be Running Out of Steam

For years, progressives have longed to supplement progressive income taxes with wealth taxes that reach the vast inherited, invested, or even hidden...

18.09.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

What We Learned From the 2026 Primaries

Primary season came to an end this week when voters in Delaware headed to the polls on September 15. That same day, early in-person general-election...

17.09.2026 30

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Republicans Reject Trump’s ‘All About Me’ Midterms Strategy

For those Republican candidates still confused about their pitch to midterms voters, Donald Trump offered some specific instructions at last week’s...

17.09.2026 50

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Trump’s AI Cheerleading Put His Party in an Impossible Place

Congressional Republicans are rapidly running out of time to do anything that might preserve their control of Congress. Indeed, early midterms voting...

16.09.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Gerrymandering May Not Have Done Republicans Much Good After All

Republicans undoubtedly prevailed in the gerrymandering arms race touched off when President Trump ordered Texas to redraw its congressional maps in...

16.09.2026 40

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Republicans Are Losing Trump’s 2024 Gains With Texas Latinos

When Donald Trump reclaimed the White House in 2024 and Republicans won a trifecta by flipping control of the Senate, one story seemed to capture the...

14.09.2026 30

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

J.D. Vance Previews Republicans’ Nasty Midterm Smears

If you want a good idea of the Republican Party’s closing pitch to voters heading toward a 2026 election that doesn’t look good for them, Donald...

11.09.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

The Psychology Behind Trump’s Plan to Give Everyone $5,000

To understand Donald Trump’s epic (in length, not content) speech on the first night of the Midterm Republican Convention nobody but him wanted to...

10.09.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Will Democrats Let Trump-Backed College-Sports Bill Pass?

If you happen to be a college-football fan and you watch the sport on any of the ubiquitous Disney-owned ABC-ESPN outlets, you are probably aware of a...

10.09.2026 50

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Midterm Convention Gives GOP More of What It Needs Least

For the first time since Democrats tried it twice (with poor results) in the 1970s, a major U.S. political party is holding a “midterm national...

08.09.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

A Democratic Blue Wave Could Hit Governors’ Races, Too

Democrats have reason to hope that a “blue wave” in the midterm elections, fed by Donald Trump’s unpopularity, will help them flip the House and...

08.09.2026 30

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Three Ways the 2026 Midterms Could Reshape Washington

We’re now two months out from the 2026 midterm elections, and in some ways, the outcome is even more uncertain than usual. The basic rules of how...

06.09.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Republican Midterm Odds Are Looking Pretty Grim

Polls can tell you, with varying degrees of certitude, the state of play of individual midterm-election contests for the Senate and the House. But...

04.09.2026 50

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Democrats’ Old-Guard Primary Purge Skips Massachusetts

One of the big narratives of the 2026 midterm elections is that in Democratic primaries, young progressive insurgents are knocking off old centrist or...

02.09.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Jon Ossoff’s Big Opportunity Beyond His Own Election

Right now, U.S. senator Jon Ossoff is enjoying a bit of a rock-star moment. He’s raised an enormous haul of cash for his reelection campaign. He’s...

31.08.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Trump Can’t Rally the Republicans He Needs

The heart of the 2026 midterm-election battle is a struggle for the high ground of public opinion between supporters and opponents of the president of...

30.08.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Plenty of States Have Flipped. Texas Could Too.

For a data-driven number cruncher of the highest order, Nate Silver is refreshingly honest in admitting his skepticism about the Senate candidacy of...

29.08.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Is Trump Just Deporting ‘the Worst of the Worst’? Far From It.

There has always been an element of fundamental duplicity in the second Trump administration’s mass-deportation program. In promoting it during the...

27.08.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Darline Graham Fumbled Debate, Won Senate Primary Anyway

Despite a lot of late buzz from the D.C. punditry about interim senator Darline Graham wrecking her campaign for a full term with an admission of...

26.08.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Bill Clinton’s Party Needs a ‘Different Kind of Democrat’ Again

The 42nd president of the United States just turned 80 this past week, and you have to be pretty long in the tooth yourself to remember how very young...

23.08.2026 10

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Despite Primary Whiffs, Poll Haters Are Still Wrong

One of the things about politics that people love to hate is polling. To a certain extent, this antipathy is entirely understandable. As critics often...

22.08.2026 30

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

AOC and Ossoff Are Young. Why Rush to Run in 2028?

There’s a lot of talk in Democratic circles about the need for “generational change,” which isn’t surprising given the proximate end of a...

21.08.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Midterm-Convention Trump-fest May Backfire on GOP

Democrats’ best hope for the midterms is that voters only have one thing when they head to the polls in November: their opinion of Donald Trump. If,...

20.08.2026 30

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Was Darline Graham’s Dumb Debate Answer Just an Act?

Throughout her brief career as a senator and as a candidate to remain one, Darline Graham has gone to some lengths to distance herself from the legacy...

19.08.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

DSA Senate Candidate Scores Huge Florida Primary Upset

Republicans’ last-minute gerrymander upended Florida’s congressional map, setting the stage for messy primaries across the Sunshine State. And on...

19.08.2026 20

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Florida’s Chaotic Primaries Show Impact of GOP Takeover

To an even greater extent than its midwestern counterpart Ohio, Florida is a state that has rapidly transformed itself from a blue-leaning...

18.08.2026 30

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Crowley Upsets Hong in Wisconsin As Progressive Surge Falters

The “progressive surge” story line that dominated Democratic primaries this summer came to an abrupt halt in Wisconsin yesterday, as Milwaukee...

12.08.2026 40

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

The Scramble for Lindsey Graham’s Senate Seat

A hastily assembled field of Republican U.S. Senate candidates in South Carolina will face its first test on August 11 in a special primary to choose...

11.08.2026 50

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

Two Messy Midwest Primaries Test the Progressive Surge

A week after Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow victory in Michigan’s U.S. Senate primary, the competition between progressives and centrist Democrats is...

11.08.2026 30

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore

El-Sayed on Brink of Breakthrough Win

By the time the votes were to be tallied Tuesday night, it was widely assumed, mostly because of some iffy polling, that former public-health official...

05.08.2026 30

Daily Intelligencer

Ed Kilgore