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Stefan Wolff

Stefan Wolff

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Russia’s relentless interference since start of Ukraine war has failed to break Moldova

Russia’s relentless interference since start of Ukraine war has failed to break Moldova

Beyond simple survival, Moldova seems to have emerged stronger from the challenges it has faced.

13.03.2026 10

The Conversation

Stefan Wolff

What the conflict in Iran means for Putin and Ukraine

The Russian leader will be angry at the assault on a Russian ally, but American involvement in a conflict in the Middle East for now will play to his...

05.03.2026 20

The Conversation

Stefan Wolff

Ukraine war: after four surprising years, where does it go next? Experts give their view

The Ukraine war enters its fifth year and there are no signs that the fighting will end anytime soon.

24.02.2026 10

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Stefan Wolff

Trump’s diplomatic blitz exposes a misunderstanding of peacemaking

Donald Trump’s approach to peacemaking is deeply flawed.

19.02.2026 9

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Stefan Wolff

Five reasons Trump’s plan for Ukrainian elections and a peace referendum will only prolong the war

The US president’s plan for Ukraine looks far-fetched and one-sided – but it might buy Volodymyr Zelensky and his allies valuable time.

12.02.2026 20

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Stefan Wolff

Farcical peace talks in Abu Dhabi resolve nothing as Ukraine shivers under Russia’s winter onslaught

Any end to the fighting in Ukraine looks as far away as ever.

06.02.2026 20

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Stefan Wolff

Farcical peace talks continue in Abu Dhabi as Ukraine shivers under Russia’s winter onslaught

Any end to the fighting in Ukraine looks as far away as ever.

05.02.2026 5

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Stefan Wolff

Ukraine: Zelensky upbeat on US deal – but Davos showed the US president to be an unreliable ally

There is talk of US ‘security guarantees’ to enforce a ceasefire in Ukraine. But there’s no sign the US president will get tough with his...

27.01.2026 10

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Stefan Wolff

Donald Trump’s ‘board of peace’ looks like a privatised UN with one shareholder: the US president

The board of peace will be chaired by the US president and will cost member states US$1 billion to join.

21.01.2026 10

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Stefan Wolff

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine outlasts the Soviet fight with the Nazis – here’s what history tells us about Kyiv’s prospects

Russian forces are still battling over territory in eastern Ukraine after 1,418 days of war.

15.01.2026 10

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Stefan Wolff

Donald Trump’s raid on Venezuela foreshadows a new ‘great power’ carve-up of the world

It’s a blatant breach of international law which which will encourage Russia and China to follow suit.

05.01.2026 10

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Stefan Wolff

Donald Trump’s national security strategy puts America first and leaves its allies to fend for themselves

America’s new vision of its place in the world has left its European allies wondering whether Nato can survive in its current form.

11.12.2025 7

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Stefan Wolff

New US national security strategy adds to Ukraine’s woes and exacerbates Europe’s dilemmas

Washington is no longer a reliable ally for either Ukraine or Europe.

09.12.2025 5

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Stefan Wolff

Thirty years after the Balkans peace deal, a different US leadership is fumbling the war in Ukraine

What today’s diplomats can learn from the Dayton accords.

03.12.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff

Ukraine and Europe’s weakness exposed as US and Russia again negotiate behind Kyiv’s back

Ukraine’s collapse is not a foregone conclusion, despite sustained losses on the battlefield.

20.11.2025 8

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Stefan Wolff

Ukraine: energy corruption scandal threatens to derail Zelensky’s government and undermine its war effort

Operation Midas, a Ukrainian anti-corruption probe, has uncovered what appears to be damning evidence against some of the Ukrainian president’s...

13.11.2025 5

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Stefan Wolff

Lack of progress on joining EU caps another bad month for Ukraine

The latest European commission report on Ukraine’s EU accession points to problems with corruption and intimidation of journalists.

05.11.2025 7

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Stefan Wolff

Trump’s heated White House meeting with Zelensky shows how well Putin is playing the US president

It looked as if the US might supply Ukraine with game-changing new weapons. Then the Russian president phoned Donald Trump.

20.10.2025 6

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Stefan Wolff

Russia now has a strategy for a permanent state of hybrid war

A new report suggests Russia’s foreign policy strategy is to ‘stop worrying and love the disorder’.

16.10.2025 7

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Stefan Wolff

Donald Trump would have been an unsuitable choice for the 2025 Nobel peace prize – but he may be a more serious contender in 2026

The peace prize rules made it hard for the US president to win this year. But that doesn’t rule him out for 2026.

10.10.2025 4

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Stefan Wolff

Moldova: pro-EU party wins majority in election dominated by Russian interference

The Moldovan election result will be noted with significant relief not only in Chișinău, but also in other European capitals.

29.09.2025 8

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Stefan Wolff

Russian incursions into Nato airspace show Ukraine’s allied coalition needs to be ready as well as willing

Russia is testing Nato’s eastern borders. A divided alliance needs to react faster and with more unity.

23.09.2025 9

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Stefan Wolff

Russian drones over Poland is a serious escalation – here’s why the west’s response won’t worry Putin

Things have been going the Russian leader’s way, both on the battlefield and on the diplomatic front. Nato and Ukraine’s European leaders need to...

11.09.2025 5

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Stefan Wolff

What Xi Jinping hosting Modi and Putin reveals about China’s plans for a new world order

Despite the smiles, the unity underpinning a new China-led global order looks a lot more fragile than its president would have you believe.

03.09.2025 5

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Stefan Wolff

Xi, Putin and Modi to meet in China – but don’t expect their Eurasian bloc summit to agree on anything important

The SCO is the world’s largest regional organisation, but its members are anything but united.

27.08.2025 7

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Stefan Wolff

Transatlantic unity at the White House disguises lack of progress towards just peace for Ukraine

There are signs that Ukraine, the US and Europe are close to agreeing a pathway to a peace deal, but the initial response from Russia has not been...

19.08.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff

Trump’s Alaska summit with Russia is shaping up to be the most important of his second presidency

Trump’s meeting with Putin in Alaska is shaping up to be the most important of his second presidency.

14.08.2025 6

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Stefan Wolff

Trump has finally realised he needs economic and military muscle to force Putin to agree a peace deal

There are signs the US president is prepared to follow through on his threats of sanctioning Russia and arming Ukraine.

07.08.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff

Why Donald Trump has stopped some conflicts but is failing with Ukraine and Gaza

The US president doesn’t appear to have sufficient leverage or an experienced enough team to solve the more complex conflicts.

31.07.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff

Russia-Ukraine talks: both sides play for time and wait for Donald Trump’s 50 days to run out

Neither side is willing to move away from their original maximalist positions.

24.07.2025 7

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Stefan Wolff

Over €10 billion has now been pledged for Ukraine’s recovery. It’s nowhere near enough

Ukraine has been at war for more than a decade. The task of rebuilding the country and healing its people is likely to take even longer.

14.07.2025 7

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Stefan Wolff

US backs Nato’s latest pledge of support for Ukraine, but in reality seems to have abandoned its European partners

The lack of US commitment to Ukraine’s defence is both threat and opportunity for Europe.

07.07.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff

Why experts expect Russian interference in upcoming election on Ukraine’s borders

Experts are predicting that Russia will try and interfere in the upcoming election in Moldova.

27.06.2025 7

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Stefan Wolff

At June’s Nato summit, just keeping Donald Trump in the room will be seen as a victory

Nato leaders will do their best to engage with a US president who appears increasingly hostile towards the alliance.

23.06.2025 6

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Stefan Wolff

Ukraine ‘spiderweb’ drone strike fails to register at peace talks as both sides dig in for the long haul

Huge Ukrainian strike against Russia was a massive success, but doesn’t break the stalemate at the negotiating table.

03.06.2025 9

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Stefan Wolff

Germany steps up to replace ‘unreliable’ US as guarantor of European security

Germany has announced plans to develop the ‘strongest’ conventional army in Europe.

29.05.2025 9

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Stefan Wolff

After another call with Putin, it looks like Trump has abandoned efforts to mediate peace in Ukraine

Trump informs Ukraine and its European allies that the war is now solely their problem to solve.

20.05.2025 6

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Stefan Wolff

Territorial concessions will be central to any Ukraine peace deal, and to Russia’s long-term  plan

Russia’s push for territorial concessions is part of its wider agenda of extending its regional sphere of influence and threatening Europe.

14.05.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff

Russia-China ties on full display on Victory Day – but all is not as well as Putin is making out

Russia’s Victory Day commemorations were a display of how close Moscow and Beijing are.

13.05.2025 6

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Stefan Wolff

Europe is moving to reposition itself in Donald Trump’s new global order

On defence, energy and trade, Europe is now forging new partnerships to become more independent.

07.05.2025 9

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Stefan Wolff

Trump can’t decide who to blame for a failing peace deal that would only lead to further conflict

European counterproposals reject most of the terms of Trump’s suggested peace deal.

25.04.2025 4

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Stefan Wolff

Ukraine war: path to peace looks increasingly narrow as Kyiv’s western backers scramble to focus on their own interests

As things stand, there is very little hope for a sustainable peace deal emerging from negotiations.

22.04.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff

US and Russia squabble over Arctic security as melting ice opens up shipping routes

Melting ice in the Arctic is opening up shipping routes and making the region a valuable strategic asset.

04.04.2025 8

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Stefan Wolff

Trump’s phone call with Putin fails to deliver ceasefire – here’s what could happen next

The Russian president set harsh conditions on Ukraine and offered little in return.

19.03.2025 8

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Stefan Wolff

US and Ukraine sign 30-day ceasefire proposal – now the ball is in Putin’s court

Vladimir Putin will now have to weigh up how to maintain a reset with the US while also pressing for more military success on the battlefield.

12.03.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff

Europe-Nato ‘coalition of the willing’ scrambles for collective response to hostility from Trump and threat from Putin

US foreign policy is forcing a security rethink, particularly in Europe.

06.03.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff

Raised voices and angry scenes at the White House as Trump clashes with Zelensky over the ‘minerals deal’

There’s nothing in the deal about the US guaranteeing Ukraine’s future security.

28.02.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff

Zelensky flies to Washington but his dream of a ‘just peace’ deal is unlikely to come true as things stand

There’s nothing in the deal about the US guaranteeing Ukraine’s future security.

28.02.2025 6

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Stefan Wolff

Ukraine war: Trump is not trying to appease Putin – he has a vision of a new US-China -Russia order

Trump’s seeming embrace of Vladimir Putin has some sinister echoes of the past.

24.02.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff

Europe left scrambling in face of wavering US security guarantees

European leaders are stunned at the radical change of direction signalled by Donald Trump and his team.

17.02.2025 10

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Stefan Wolff