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On Sunday, June 21, in Switzerland, Vice President JD Vance exuded optimism, stating that the negotiations he was opening with the Islamic Republic of Iran could “transform the Middle East.” After the first day, he proclaimed a breakthrough: Tehran had agreed to permit International Atomic Energy Association inspections.

The next day, Iran denied it.

Tehran’s long and well-documented history of perfidy is not the only reason to doubt that the Vance-led negotiations will end well. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), which now effectively governs Iran, has given no indication of abandoning its defining ambition – to wage war by whatever means necessary against Israel, Sunni Arab monarchs, America, and the West in order to impose Islamist rule over the Middle East.

Nevertheless, President Trump, like the vice president, has expressed great expectations for negotiations with Tehran.

On Wednesday morning, June 17, while attending the G7 Summit in France and two days ahead of schedule, Trump signed the “Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding between the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran.” The 14-point MOU announced “the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.” At a press conference later that day, the president anticipated bigger and better diplomatic accomplishments. “[I]t’s my hope that the peace agreement will be the beginning of a much larger deal all across the Middle East,” he said. “We’re very close; look at the job we’ve done on Gaza, look at Hamas, Hamas has been very silent. You haven’t read anything about Hamas.”

The president’s praise of his Gaza deal undercut the grand hopes he professed for his Iran deal. Iran-backed Hamas may have been relatively quiet and out of the headlines since signing on Oct. 9, 2025, the “Comprehensive Plan to End the Gaza Conflict,” a multilateral framework brokered by the Trump administration. However, the jihadists have been far from inactive. Those who haven’t read anything over the last eight months about Hamas’ malign conduct haven’t tried hard to keep themselves informed. The terrorist organization has refused to disarm, consolidated control over Gaza Palestinians, and thwarted the Trump administration’s Board of Peace’s mission, which is to transform Gaza into “a deradicalized terror-free zone that does not pose a threat to its neighbors.”

The Iran MOU sparked sharp criticism, especially among Senate Republicans. Arkansas Sen. Tom Cotton, chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said, “I do have concerns that certain aspects of this deal are........

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