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Pakistan’s bet: Power without becoming a pawn

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Small and middle powers rarely choose their geography. They only choose what to do with it. Pakistan sits at the seam of South Asia, the Gulf, and China. It cannot out-produce Beijing. It cannot out-spend Riyadh. It cannot match Washington’s reach. But it can make itself impossible to bypass. That is the calculation now unfolding in Islamabad, and it deserves to be read through the cold lens of realism, not the warm language of diplomacy.

Start with the concept itself. Zbigniew Brzezinski gave it a name in The Grand Chessboard: the geopolitical pivot. He defined pivots as states “whose importance is derived not from their power and motivation but rather from their sensitive location and from the consequences of their potentially vulnerable condition for the behavior of geostrategic players.” Pakistan fits that description almost too neatly. It borders Iran, China, and India. It sits astride the routes that connect Gulf capital to Central Asian resources. Its relevance comes from where it stands, not from what it can build alone.

The new Makkah Joint Defense Agreement with Saudi Arabia and Turkey formalises that relevance. It ties Pakistan’s security posture to Gulf dynamics. It gives Riyadh a defence partner with nuclear-armed depth. It gives Islamabad access to Saudi capital and industrial reach toward Europe. Meanwhile, the relationship with Beijing supplies economic ballast and military weight that no Gulf state can offer. And Pakistan’s quiet channel to both Tehran and Washington, where trust runs thin on both sides, adds a third leg that neither Riyadh nor Beijing can replicate.

READ: Israel wins the battlefield. It is losing the bench and the ballot box

Beijing’s stake in this arrangement runs deeper than friendship. China buys roughly 90 percent of........

© Middle East Monitor