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William KeenanThe Times of Israel (Blogs) |
The fourteen-point memorandum of understanding signed between Washington and Tehran on June 17 commits the United States and its regional partners to...
The last three years has made a simple truth unavoidable: military dominance is no longer a reliable path to lasting security in the Middle East....
A Stalemate Wrapped in a Deal The Memorandum of Understanding expected to be agreed upon by Iran and the United States in the coming days will...
Israelis have perfectly rational reasons to believe they live under existential threat. This is not a matter of exaggeration or political theater; it...
“If we go and bomb — which we can do very easily — and we spend another two or three weeks bombing, they’ll have nothing left whatsoever, but...
The crisis unfolding between Washington, Jerusalem, and Tehran has entered a phase that feels less like strategy and more like a trap. It is a trap...
Section 224, included in the House Armed Services Committee’s chairman’s mark of the FY2027 National Defense Authorization Act, would establish...
Why Tuslsi Gabbard Had to Go Recent reporting on Tulsi Gabbard’s departure from the Office of the Director of National Intelligence has focused on a...
The Familiar Political Temptation Israel’s opposition is pursuing a familiar political strategy. Faced with an electorate shaped by the failures of...
Axios’s account of an expletive-laden phone call between President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu has landed at a fraught moment. According to a...
Netanyahu’s Predictable Strategy When UNSC 2803 established the Gaza Board of Peace, I assessed that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would not...
The Trump administration’s decision to explicitly link a future Iran agreement with mandatory participation in the Abraham Accords materially...
Donald Trump’s decision to follow Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s maximalist assumptions on Iran, rather than the cautionary advice of key...
The Iran war had already entered a phase that Robert Kagan — one of the most influential architects of American neoconservative interventionism —...
The plan to topple Iran’s regime from the outside was always implausible because it depended on two prerequisites that did not exist: broad,...
When “Public Relations” Becomes Strategic Policy On May 14, 2026, speaking to Fox News host Sean Hannity from Beijing, President Donald Trump made...
Near the end of his recent 60 Minutes interview, Benjamin Netanyahu picked up a smartphone and held it toward the camera. It was a telling gesture —...
“I don’t think about American financial situation — I don’t think about anybody. I think about one thing: We cannot let Iran have a nuclear...
America’s Strategic Failure in the War on Iran In a striking assessment published in The Atlantic on May 10, 2026, Robert Kagan argues that the...
A Technology Problem That Is Not a Technology Problem In boardrooms, legislative chambers, academic journals, and newspaper opinion pages, the debate...
As the Iran War enters its ninth week, diplomatic efforts continue in hope of finding a formula at least marginally acceptable to the U.S., Israel,...
Recent polling confirms what Democratic strategists have been watching for months: the party now holds a lead of between three and ten points on the...
The confrontation between the United States and Iran has entered a new and potentially more dangerous phase. Although Iran’s nuclear program remains...
The future of AI will not be decided by who writes the best code, but by who can keep electrons flowing, copper moving, and molecules arriving through...
Regardless of the legitimacy of Israel’s objectives in the Iran War, and regardless of how the conflict ultimately ends, the war has already exposed...
The Strait of Hormuz has now been effectively closed for fifty-one days. What makes this crisis feel simultaneously compressed and unmanageable is not...
The words fill my head, and they fall to the floor That if God’s on our side, he’ll stop the next war – Bob Dylan The Analyst’s Mandate...
Who Are Christian Nationalists and What Do They Believe Christian Nationalism has become a significant force in American public life, shaping...
For all the attention now fixed on Iran, Lebanon, and the widening arc of regional instability, the strategic center of gravity in the Middle East...
President Trump’s growing frustration with NATO members’ refusal to join U.S. efforts to either unblock or block the Strait of Hormuz has become a...
April 2026 Pew Research Center polling documents a marked realignment in American public opinion toward Israel along age, partisan, and religious...
The decision by President Donald Trump to authorize a joint U.S.–Israeli strike on Iran in late February has prompted intense debate about how the...
Benefits and Risks of CIA Moving to AI-Assisted Analysis What the Agency Is Doing: Senior CIA leadership has announced that AI assistants will be...
“Know your enemy and know yourself and you can fight a hundred battles without disaster.” This 5th Century BCE admonition by the Chinese general...
When a President Threatens a Civilization with Destruction, We Need to Ask Some Very Serious Questions This morning, President Donald Trump posted on...
“Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran,” President Trump wrote on Truth Social. “There will be nothing...
The medium is Truth Social. The message is imperialism. “With a little time, we can easily OPEN THE HORMUZ STRAIT, TAKE THE OIL, & MAKE A...
How a War We Did Not Choose Became a Crisis We Cannot Escape The United States entered the Iran conflict under circumstances that never persuaded most...
A Region Defined by Visibility Airborne early warning has always been the quiet backbone of stability in the Gulf. In a region shaped by dense air...
On the morning of March 2, 2026, according to a complaint later filed with the Military Religious Freedom Foundation, a combat-unit commander told...
The Strait of Hormuz has always been more than a narrow maritime passage. It is the point where multiple strategic ecosystems converge: NATO’s...
A Public Mood That Appears Steady—But Is Not Stable (poll by Quinnipiac) Twenty‑eight days into the conflict, U.S. public opinion has settled into...
Emerging Negotiation Landscape The New York Times continues to publish accounts, attributed to unnamed US officials, that Crown Prince Mohammed bin...
The Structural Limits of Wartime Alignment The current phase of the conflict has exposed a widening strategic and political divergence between...
“Sometimes you have to escalate before you can de-escalate.” U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent offered that line on Sunday as if escalation were a...
Israel’s Three Node Center of Gravity In classical military doctrine, a Center of Gravity is the source of power that provides moral or physical...
When a president declares war and then asks others to finish the job, the request tests not only military capacity but political legitimacy. Donald...
Truth: The First Casualty of War Accusations of disloyalty have always surfaced during wartime, especially when public support begins to fracture or...
When U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran began on February 28, President Trump told CNN that Gulf states “were going to be very little involved.”...
What was pitched as a two-to-four week kinetic operation intended to “finish the job” and produce rapid political effects has, by Day 15, lost...
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