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William Keenan

William Keenan

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

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Iran War: Day 63 — The Economic Battlespace

Iran War: Day 63 — The Economic Battlespace

The confrontation between the United States and Iran has entered a new and potentially more dangerous phase. Although Iran’s nuclear program remains...

yesterday 30

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran war: The Hormuz choke point exposed the AI choke point

Iran war: The Hormuz choke point exposed the AI choke point

The future of AI will not be decided by who writes the best code, but by who can keep electrons flowing, copper moving, and molecules arriving through...

27.04.2026 40

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War: Wishful Hubris Is Not Strategic Analysis

Iran War: Wishful Hubris Is Not Strategic Analysis

Regardless of the legitimacy of Israel’s objectives in the Iran War, and regardless of how the conflict ultimately ends, the war has already exposed...

25.04.2026 40

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Hormuz Crisis Day 51: Timeline of Political and Economic Instability

Hormuz Crisis Day 51: Timeline of Political and Economic Instability

The Strait of Hormuz has now been effectively closed for fifty-one days. What makes this crisis feel simultaneously compressed and unmanageable is not...

22.04.2026 40

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

With God on His Side — Trump’s Religious Messaging

With God on His Side — Trump’s Religious Messaging

The words fill my head, and they fall to the floor That if God’s on our side, he’ll stop the next war  – Bob Dylan The Analyst’s Mandate...

20.04.2026 40

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Christian Nationalism and the Israeli Dilemma

Who Are Christian Nationalists and What Do They Believe Christian Nationalism has become a significant force in American public life, shaping...

18.04.2026 30

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Gaza: The Forgotten Middle East Strategic Center of Gravity

For all the attention now fixed on Iran, Lebanon, and the widening arc of regional instability, the strategic center of gravity in the Middle East...

16.04.2026 40

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Trump’s Theatrics, Threats, and Rhetoric Are Undermining NATO Cohesion

President Trump’s growing frustration with NATO members’ refusal to join U.S. efforts to either unblock or block the Strait of Hormuz has become a...

15.04.2026 40

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

The US–Israel Disconnect: Polling, Politics, and the Palestinians

April 2026 Pew Research Center polling documents a marked realignment in American public opinion toward Israel along age, partisan, and religious...

14.04.2026 50

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

The Decision to Go to War with Iran: What Was Trump Thinking?

The decision by President Donald Trump to authorize a joint U.S.–Israeli strike on Iran in late February has prompted intense debate about how the...

12.04.2026 40

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Benefits and Risks of CIA Moving to AI-Assisted Intelligence Analysis

Benefits and Risks of CIA Moving to AI-Assisted Analysis What the Agency Is Doing: Senior CIA leadership has announced that AI assistants will be...

10.04.2026 40

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Israel’s Moment of Truth: Lessons Not Learned

“Know your enemy and know yourself and you can fight a hundred battles without disaster.” This 5th Century BCE admonition by the Chinese general...

08.04.2026 30

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

President Trump Threatens to Destroy the Iranian Civilization

When a President Threatens a Civilization with Destruction, We Need to Ask Some Very Serious Questions This morning, President Donald Trump posted on...

07.04.2026 50

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Attacks on Civilian Infrastructure – War Crime and Dangerous Escalation

“Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran,” President Trump wrote on Truth Social. “There will be nothing...

05.04.2026 50

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Trump: ‘Take the Oil and Make a Fortune’

The medium is Truth Social. The message is imperialism. “With a little time, we can easily OPEN THE HORMUZ STRAIT, TAKE THE OIL, & MAKE A...

04.04.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War: Trump’s Dilemma Is Now the World’s Dilemma

How a War We Did Not Choose Became a Crisis We Cannot Escape The United States entered the Iran conflict under circumstances that never persuaded most...

02.04.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War: Strait of Hormuz — Coalition Redundancy and Interoperable AWACS

A Region Defined by Visibility Airborne early warning has always been the quiet backbone of stability in the Gulf. In a region shaped by dense air...

31.03.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

End-Times Belief and the Iran War: When Prophecy Replaces Intelligence

On the morning of March 2, 2026, according to a complaint later filed with the Military Religious Freedom Foundation, a combat-unit commander told...

30.03.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War: Strait of Hormuz — The U.S. and NATO Disconnect

The Strait of Hormuz has always been more than a narrow maritime passage. It is the point where multiple strategic ecosystems converge: NATO’s...

28.03.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War: Day 28 – How Negotiations Could Impact U.S. Public Opinion

A Public Mood That Appears Steady—But Is Not Stable (poll by Quinnipiac) Twenty‑eight days into the conflict, U.S. public opinion has settled into...

27.03.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War Day 26: Saudi Arabia and Iran Strategic Dynamics

Emerging Negotiation Landscape The New York Times continues to publish accounts, attributed to unnamed US officials, that Crown Prince Mohammed bin...

25.03.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War: The Diverging Incentives of Trump and Netanyahu

The Structural Limits of Wartime Alignment The current phase of the conflict has exposed a widening strategic and political divergence between...

24.03.2026 70

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War – Day 23: Is De-escalation Even Possible?

“Sometimes you have to escalate before you can de-escalate.” U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent offered that line on Sunday as if escalation were a...

23.03.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War: Israel’s Center of Gravity Analysis

Israel’s Three Node Center of Gravity In classical military doctrine, a Center of Gravity is the source of power that provides moral or physical...

21.03.2026 80

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Trump Started the Iran War. Who Will Finish It?

When a president declares war and then asks others to finish the job, the request tests not only military capacity but political legitimacy. Donald...

18.03.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War: When Democracy Itself Is Under Attack

Truth: The First Casualty of War Accusations of disloyalty have always surfaced during wartime, especially when public support begins to fracture or...

17.03.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

The Gulf States, the Iran War, and the Limits of Strategic Trust

When U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran began on February 28, President Trump told CNN that Gulf states “were going to be very little involved.”...

16.03.2026 90

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War Day 16: Mission Accomplished or Stuck in the Sand?

What was pitched as a two-to-four week kinetic operation intended to “finish the job” and produce rapid political effects has, by Day 15, lost...

15.03.2026 90

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Chabad, Jared Kushner, Tucker Carlson, and the Third Temple

Faith, Fact, and Friction: Assessing Chabad’s Role in Contemporary Geopolitics For decades, the Chabad-Lubavitch movement was best known to the...

13.03.2026 100

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

The Credibility Gap — Vietnam, Iraq, Gaza, and Now Iran

Credibility: A Nation’s Most Critical Strategic Asset Vietnam is the cautionary tale that every strategist and political leader should carry in...

12.03.2026 100

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Iran War: Day 12 – Trump at the Crossroads

By Day 12 of the crisis, President Donald Trump faces a tightening set of strategic pressures shaped by an expanding regional conflict, fragile...

11.03.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

AI, Surveillance, and the Democratic Guardrails We Can’t Afford to Lose

As a counterterrorism analyst who supported US European Command and the Pentagon, I worked inside the machinery of modern surveillance. I reviewed...

06.03.2026 70

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

War in the Gulf: Strategic Dynamics of the Strait of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz does not need to be formally closed to be strategically decisive. It is enough that it becomes dangerous. At its narrowest point,...

05.03.2026 100

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Rubio’s Iran Strike Rationale Raises More Questions Than Answers

Operation Epic Fury: Manufactured Imminence and the Erosion of Strategic Credibility Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s recent explanation of...

03.03.2026 80

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Strategic Implications of Low Public Support for Military Operations in Iran

Public support is not a peripheral variable in U.S. military operations; it is a structural constraint. In democratic systems, the initial level of...

02.03.2026 80

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Political Consequences of US-Israel Strikes on Iran

The political fallout from the ongoing US–Israel strikes on Iran will likely hinge less on the tally of leaders killed or facilities damaged than on...

01.03.2026 100

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

The Anthropology of Geopolitical Exceptionalism

How Modern Powers Use Theology and Ideology to Create Cohesion and Justify Expansion Geopolitics is often explained through material variables —...

28.02.2026 70

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Political Optics of a US–Israel Strike on Iran

Recent reporting by Politico claimed that unnamed White House advisers viewed an Israeli first strike on Iran—followed by US intervention after...

26.02.2026 80

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Huckabee’s Comments, Trump’s Silence, and the Erosion of Trust

The uproar surrounding US Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee’s recent comments is not merely a diplomatic embarrassment; it is a revealing indicator...

24.02.2026 80

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Viewing the U.S.–Israel Alliance Through a Cultural Lens

The U.S.–Israel relationship is often analyzed through the familiar lenses of strategy, ideology, or shared democratic values. Yet some of the most...

21.02.2026 100

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

The Board of Peace – The Check Is in the Mail

Donald Trump’s Board of Peace debuted with the staging of a fully formed international institution: formal ceremony, assembled leaders, and a...

20.02.2026 100

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Why Epstein’s Relationship With Barak Doesn’t Prove He Wasn’t an Israeli Spy

08.02.2026 100

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Featured Post

02.02.2026 100

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Netanyahu’s Trump–Saudi–Turkey–Qatar Dilemma

29.01.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Israel-UAE vs. ‘Muslim NATO’: Strategic Realignment or Narrative Shift?

27.01.2026 100

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Trump’s Splintered Board of Peace

23.01.2026 100

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Why Middle Eastern States Oppose US Military Intervention in Iran

16.01.2026 60

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

The Emerging Board of Peace: Invitations, Omissions, and Strategic Hesitation

09.01.2026 50

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

A Palestinian Administrative Council: A Potential Pathway

27.12.2025 70

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan

Gaza Phase II – The Grammar of Trust: Honor and Legitimacy

21.12.2025 50

The Times of Israel (Blogs)

William Keenan