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Arithmetic of Power Hegemony and Iran: Why the US May Not Be Able to Sustain the Old Order

29 0
02.03.2026

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After a massive naval buildup in the Gulf and adjacent theatres over recent weeks, the United States and Israel launched a coordinated military offensive against the Iranian Regime on February 28.

What followed was predictable.

Large-scale protests erupted across multiple capitals, condemning what demonstrators described as US-Israeli escalation. More critical for Washington, however, was the backlash at home, where sections of the American public questioned both the legal basis and strategic rationale of the operation.

What may be more politically consequential for the White House is how this escalation resonates domestically.

Recent polling indicates that a substantial share of Americans do not favour military action against Iran and remain sceptical of further foreign intervention, a stance in alignment with the ‘America First’ Narrative which formed the core of Trump’s campaign trail, but now appears increasingly at odds with.

The debate is not only about war fatigue or fiscal strain; it is about the credibility of international law when its principal architect appears willing to test its limits.

Maritime arteries and monetary power: The structural stakes in West Asia

The White House has justified the military operation on several fronts.

US officials have cited Iran’s expanding nuclear enrichment activities and advances in ballistic missile development as direct threats to regional and global security, and they have portrayed Tehran’s refusal to halt these programmes as evidence that diplomacy had failed.

Brutal suppression of domestic protests has also been cited as a backdrop to the decision, framing the offensive as responding to both internal repression and an escalating external threat, aimed at eradicating tyranny in Tehran.

While the official rationale invites scrutiny, it would be reductive to ignore the structural and geoeconomic incentives underlying a potential US intervention in Iran, particularly given Israel’s enduring strategic contest with Tehran despite degrading proxies such as Hamas and Hezbollah.

Escalation toward Iran signals not........

© The Wire