The war of time: Has Iran already lost?

All the media, political experts and analysts claim that Iran excels in the art of negotiations and that the more time passes, the more it seems to be a victory for Iran against the United States.

The narrative of “Iran wins by negotiating” is based on a classic miscalculation: it conflates tactical resistance with strategic resilience. Commentators measure the short term (no hitting, possible agreement) and deduce a victory. This is an error of timing.

The vectors of defeat over time

1. The economic blockade as an asymmetrical war of attrition Iran is not under sanctions; it is slowly being strangulated. The riyal has lost more than 90% of its value in ten years. Structural inflation exceeds 40%. The Iranian middle class, the historical basis of the regime from 1979 to 2009, is being proletarianized. This is not a cyclical pressure; it is a destruction of the regime’s social capital.

The regime holds on not because it is strong, but because........

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