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DOGE Worked? Only If You Grade on a Curve.

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16.10.2026

DOGE

DOGE Worked? Only If You Grade on a Curve.

Cutting the number of federal employees wasn't the disaster that many critics fretted about, but that wasn't the metric for success.

Eric Boehm | 10.16.2026 1:30 PM

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(Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok/Newscom/Jiri Hera/Dreamstime.)

As the Trump administration's short-lived Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) project implemented its plan to downsize the federal workforce, there was much wailing from the liberal institutions in Washington, D.C.

Federal employee unions filed lawsuits to block the effort. NPR ran profiles of federal workers who, for the first time, faced the prospect of potentially not having absolute job security forever. The Brookings Institution wondered how many jobs the federal government could shed before it crashes.

The answer: plenty. The Trump administration has cut more than 10 percent of the federal workforce, and the government hasn't crashed. Indeed, it hasn't even shrunk—if you're counting by dollars spent instead of people employed.

In a new article for City Journal, Manhattan Institute senior fellow Judge Glock highlights the tremendous gap between the dire predictions about DOGE's cuts and the reality that has emerged, more than a year after DOGE was shut down. Despite having only a modest impact on spending, Glock writes, DOGE "had a massive impact on the federal civil service."

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