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Joe Varner: Praising Beijing’s 'new world order' a costly misstep for Carney — and Canada

14 0
20.01.2026

Exactly the wrong message, to exactly the wrong audience, at exactly the wrong time

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Prime Minister Mark Carney did not misspeak in Beijing. He chose his words carefully, and therein lies a severe problem.

When a Canadian prime minister praises the idea of a “new world order” while sitting in China, he is not engaging in neutral diplomacy. He is endorsing language that carries an extremely specific meaning in Beijing and an unmistakable warning signal in Washington. For a country whose security and prosperity depend on solidarity with the United States, with whom it has had a historically challenging relationship, Carney’s comments carry significant risk, if not real damage.

In Chinese strategic doctrine, a “new world order” is not about reforming globalization. Its real objective is displacing U.S. power, weakening Western alliances, and replacing liberal norms with a hierarchical system built on state control and non-interference that shields authoritarian rule. Beijing enforces this model at home through mass surveillance, censorship, arbitrary detention, and the repression of Uyghurs, Tibetans, Christians, Falun Gong practitioners, and pro-democracy voices in Hong Kong. Abroad, it destabilizes the Indo-Pacific region through military pressure on Taiwan, coercion of Japan and the Philippines, border aggression against India, and the militarization of the South China Sea in defiance of international law.

Globally, it projects power through diaspora intimidation, economic coercion, cyber operations and political interference, weaponizing capital and supply chains. Simply put, this is a hegemonic state pursuing its interests at the expense of others, including Canada. When Canadian leaders adopt this framing, they legitimize Beijing’s core narrative as Washington views global competition entering a decisive phase.

The U.S. has made clear, under Democrats and Republicans alike, that China is its principal strategic challenger. American policy-makers increasingly divide allies into two categories: those who are aligned with Washington, and those who hedge. Praising Beijing’s vision of global order places Canada uncomfortably close to the latter. The response from an already hyperactive and unpredictable Washington — where Canada has few friends right now — will be real, and it will be painful. President Donald Trump is already reportedly concerned about the vulnerability of Canada’s Arctic to adversaries.

Prime Minister Carney’s discussion with China’s Xi Jinping of U.S. interest in acquiring Greenland, his claim of “much alignment” between Canada and China, and his warning that Canada would uphold NATO’s Article 5 commitment to Denmark if the U.S. invaded Greenland likely did not help Canada’s standing in Washington. Ottawa can certainly expect tougher questions about intelligence sharing,........

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