The 2025 U.S. Open has arrived and, if Oakmont Country Club plays as difficult as we believe, then you better buckle up.

It’s been nine years since Dustin Johnson won the 2016 U.S. Open at Oakmont with a winning score of -4. That week, Johnson was one of only four golfers to finish the 72 holes with a score under par as Jim Furyk, Shane Lowry and Scott Piercy tied for second at -1.

Earlier this week World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler called Oakmont “arguably the hardest golf course in the world” and, after listening to a number of players speak, it seems that a good attitude is going to be just as important this week as showing up with your A-game.

Everyone will miss fairways and everyone will get bad bounces. The winner this week will likely be whoever can keep those papercuts from turning into full-blown trips to the emergency room.

It’s going to be look like a warzone out there, so grab something bubbly and enjoy watching the best golfers in the world struggle.

Let’s get to a few storylines before some bets.

Ask almost anyone and they’re tell you they are expecting a winning score over par this week at the U.S. Open.

FanDuel doesn’t seem to agree.

Listed under “Tourney Specials” is a winning score prop with the number posted at 278.5 shots with the under at -145.

Oakmont will play as a Par 70 this week, meaning a score under 278.5 would be at worst -2 at 278.

As mentioned earlier, Johnson was the only player in the 2016 U.S. Open to go under this number.

In 2007, Angel Cabrera shot 285 ( 5) to beat Tiger Woods and Furyk by one shot.

Here is a look at the all the winning scores at U.S. Opens hosted at Oakmont since 1927.

The last U.S. Open won with a score-to-par worse than -2 was in 2018 when Brooks Koepka won at Shinnecock Hills at 1.

Is Scottie Scheffler going to win this tournament by more than 10 shots?

I don’t want to say yes, but I’m not sure I can definitively say no.

According to DataGolf, the........

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