In a federal Redbridge poll, the total vote for One Nation and the Coalition has been steady since late August at 50%, but Anthony Albanese’s net favourability slumped ten points to a record low -27, possibly reflecting the Reserve Bank’s interest rate hike last Tuesday.

The two other federal polls were both taken before the rate hike. The total right vote was down two points to 47% in Essential and at 48% in Morgan.

A Victorian Freshwater poll gave the Coalition a 53–47 lead over Labor after preferences. With under two months until the November 28 election, the Coalition is clearly ahead in all recent polls.

Federal Redbridge poll

A national Redbridge and Accent Research poll for The Financial Review, conducted September 28 to October 2 from a sample of 1,000, gave One Nation 29% of the primary vote (up one since the late August Redbridge poll), Labor 28% (down one), the Coalition 21% (down one), the Greens 11% (down one) and all Others 11% (up two).

By respondent preferences, Labor led One Nation by an unchanged 52–48. The Coalition led Labor by 54–46, a two-point gain for the Coalition. By 2025 election preference flows, Labor and the Coalition were tied 50–50, a two-point gain for the Coalition.

Albanese’s net favourability slumped ten points to a record low -27 and Treasurer Jim Chalmers’ was down nine points to -23. Pauline Hanson’s was up two points to -10. Angus Taylor’s was down three points to -6. Reserve Bank governor Michele Bullock’s was -3.

In a three-way preferred PM question, Albanese had 31% (steady), Hanson 26% (up two) and Taylor 15% (steady).

The right (One Nation and Coalition)........

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