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Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

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Trump’s US ratings are near a record low after dropping further last week

Trump’s US ratings are near a record low after dropping further last week

The president’s net approval is below what any past president since Harry Truman had at this point in their term.

29.04.2026 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Slump for Labor in YouGov survey, but not in other federal polls

Slump for Labor in YouGov survey, but not in other federal polls

Federal Labor is stable in the polls - except for a new YouGov survey. Meanwhile, the Coalition leads in a Victorian Resolve poll.

22.04.2026 10

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Adrian Beaumont

One Nation’s rise turns around as Newspoll and Resolve both have Labor well ahead

The latest batch of polling shows some mixed results for both the prime minister and the opposition leader.

20.04.2026 20

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Adrian Beaumont

DemosAU gives Labor one of its worst poll results this term

Applying 2025 election preference flows would give Labor below a 51–49 lead over the Coalition, their worst result since their re-election in 2025.

17.04.2026 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Donald Trump’s US ratings fall to a record low amid Iran war

Trump’s net approval has never been lower, while Democrats had a 25-point swing in their favour in a federal special election.

09.04.2026 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Polls suggest Trump still shielding Labor as right‑wing vote drops

The government is yet to see any major backlash in the polls over the fuel crisis, with most voters blaming Donald Trump instead.

08.04.2026 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Trump’s unpopularity shields Labor in Newspoll and other polls despite fuel crisis

Opposition to the Iran war is very strong in Australia, but so far the government has not been damaged by it in the polls.

30.03.2026 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor’s slide continues in federal polls, as special DemosAU poll has Coalition winning just nine seats

The DemosAU MRP poll projects outcomes for every lower house seat. It forecasts great news for One Nation and catastrophically bad news for the...

25.03.2026 30

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor easily wins South Australian election with One Nation beating Liberals into second on primary votes

While Labor has secured a thumping win, which party will form opposition is not yet clear.

21.03.2026 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor set for landslide in final South Australian polls with One Nation ahead of Liberals

Labor is set to win the South Australian election easily. But there is much interest in how One Nation and the Liberals will fare.

20.03.2026 30

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Adrian Beaumont

Polls show federal Labor losing support; One Nation looking strong in Farrer seat poll

Labor’s vote has dropped since the start of the Iran war, but it is still comfortably ahead of any other party.

16.03.2026 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Two Victorian polls have One Nation at 23–24%, but differ on which party is in the lead

One of the Victorian polls has Labor ahead on primary votes, while the other says it’s the Liberals in the lead. In NSW, Labor is out in front.

08.03.2026 40

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor down in Newspoll and Redbridge polls, with One Nation still in a clear second position

Labor maintains a clear two-party advantage over One Nation and the Coalition, but their combined vote has increased by two points.

02.03.2026 10

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Adrian Beaumont

2 of 3 new federal polls have the Coalition gaining from One Nation, but Labor clearly ahead

While Morgan and YouGov polls put Labor well ahead of the Coalition after preferences, Essential puts the Coalition ahead for the first time since the...

26.02.2026 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Two new federal polls have One Nation gaining on Labor

Polls have the combined primary vote for Labor and the Greens dropping. But there’s no sign of a boost for the Coalition after its leadership change.

24.02.2026 20

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Adrian Beaumont

SA Newspoll shows Liberal wipeout likely; Victorian Morgan poll puts One Nation first on primaries

New polling shows One Nation’s surge continuing, while the Liberals face oblivion in South Australia.

20.02.2026 150

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Adrian Beaumont

The Coalition leads in Victorian DemosAU poll, with One Nation posting 21% support

The Coalition is pulling ahead in Victoria, polling at 29%, while One Nation is just two points behind Labor, nine months out from the November...

16.02.2026 200

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Adrian Beaumont

Liberals facing wipe-out in South Australian lower house: new poll

As One Nation continues to surge at the expense of the Liberals, there is a chance the Liberals will win no lower house seats at the March 21...

11.02.2026 20

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Adrian Beaumont

One Nation surges to new high as Coalition slumps to record low

09.02.2026 10

Pearls and Irritations

Adrian Beaumont

One Nation surges to new high as Coalition slumps to record low in latest Newspoll

On current polling, the Coalition would struggle to win ten of the 150 House of Representatives seats.

09.02.2026 70

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Adrian Beaumont

Why preferential voting is superior to first past the post

Australia has long had preferential voting, and it is the best system for safeguarding our democracy.

04.02.2026 30

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Adrian Beaumont

One Nation surges into second place in two polls, but Labor remains well ahead after preferences

Five federal polls have been released in the past week, painting a rosy picture for Pauline Hanson’s party.

29.01.2026 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Morgan poll has One Nation surging at Coalition’s expense; Trump’s net approval in negative double digits

The right-wing populist party continues to climb in polling following the Bondi terror attack, mostly at the expense of the Coalition.

21.01.2026 30

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Adrian Beaumont

One Nation surges above Coalition in Newspoll as Labor still well ahead, in contrast with other polls

Meanwhile, the Coalition continues to struggle in all polls, leaking votes to One Nation.

19.01.2026 50

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Adrian Beaumont

Three early January polls have Labor down, but disagree on One Nation’s vote

While Labor’s support has flagged since the Bondi terror attacks, support for One Nation appears to be continuing to rise.

13.01.2026 40

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Adrian Beaumont

Who’s going to the ballot box this year? Here’s the election state of play

Two state governments are up for re-election in Australia, while the US midterms offer an opportunity for the Democrats to take control of Congress.

07.01.2026 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor and Albanese take a hit in post-Bondi Resolve poll

Albanese’s net approval slumped 15 points to -9, the lowest it has been in this poll since the May election.

05.01.2026 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor maintains dominant lead in Redbridge poll despite expenses claims

The polling, conducted before the Bondi terror attack, sees Labor maintain its lead, including Anthony Albanese increasing his popularity as preferred...

16.12.2025 30

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor gains in Resolve poll as DemosAU poll has One Nation winning 12 House seats

While federal Labor remains well ahead of the competition, a poll modelling seat outcomes has Pauline Hanson’s party picking up a dozen in the lower...

09.12.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Trump’s ratings recover a little after slump; Australian Labor retains large poll leads

The US president’s net approval has recovered slightly from the November low.

03.12.2025 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor’s dominance continues in federal Newspoll, while Victorian Newspoll gives Coalition narrow lead

Federal Labor continues to poll strongly as the Coalition wrestles with climate policy. Meanwhile, Victorian Labor’s polling continues to be dire.

24.11.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont

One Nation’s surge continues in Redbridge poll, but Labor dominant

Pauline Hanson’s party continues gaining popularity in the polls - most at the Liberals’ expense.

19.11.2025 30

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Adrian Beaumont

61% of Australians would struggle with an expense of a few thousand dollars: new poll

The Coalition has also gained two points in the federal Resolve poll, although the picture isn’t as rosy for Sussan Ley’s net approval rating.

11.11.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Trump’s ratings slump as shutdown grinds on; Democrats have big wins in state elections

The extended government shut-down has seen Trump’s already-weak ratings tumble further.

07.11.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont

One Nation could overtake Coalition as opposition

05.11.2025 20

The New Daily

Adrian Beaumont

Coalition’s primary vote plunges to record low and One Nation surges to record high in Newspoll

The Coalition’s primary vote fell to 24%, just nine points higher than One Nation. One Nation could be on track to overtake the Coalition as the...

03.11.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor has huge lead in a South Australian poll, 5 months from the election

If current polling results hold, SA Labor will have the second largest landslide in a state or federal election in Australian history.

27.10.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor slides back in a Victorian Resolve poll; federal Labor still well on top

After an earlier surge in support, Victorian Labor has slumped again.

15.10.2025 30

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Adrian Beaumont

Trump’s ratings steady as the US government shutdown drags into a second week

The President’s polling results haven’t changed much since the government came to a standstill. Here’s why the shutdown came about and how...

09.10.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor retains big lead in Newspoll and all other federal polls

The latest federal opinion polling has put Labor clearly ahead of the struggling Liberals. Support for One Nation is stronger than for the Greens in...

06.10.2025 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Trump’s approval ratings slide, with Americans angry over inflation and Jimmy Kimmel

Trump’s ratings are worse than any other US president since Harry Truman – they only top his own ratings at this stage of his first term.

29.09.2025 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Coalition’s primary vote hits record low in Newspoll, while One Nation support surges

One Nation’s surge into the double digits in three separate polls comes at the expense of the Coalition.

15.09.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Polling shows Donald Trump’s ratings are poor – but they could be worse

Compared to other US presidents at the same point in their term, Trump’s ratings are only better than … his own.

10.09.2025 30

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor rebounds to leads in Victorian and Queensland Resolve polls

Polls in two states have seen Labor leaders close the popularity gap between them and the Liberals.

21.08.2025 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Liberals retain government in Tasmania, while federal Labor keeps big lead in polls

Two months after a no-confidence motion in the premier passed, spurring an early election, a second motion has failed. The island state now has a...

20.08.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Greens may be a problem for Labor in next week’s Tasmanian no-confidence  vote

The island state’s second election in two years was brought on by a no-confidence vote. And there’s another one coming - even more complicated...

15.08.2025 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Easier for Labor to form government in Tasmania than Liberals after final election results

The count in the Tasmanian election is over, with voters delivering a hung parliament with largely the same make-up as the last, albeit with some new...

04.08.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Labor well-placed to win three Bass seats in Tasmanian election, giving left a total of 20 of 35 MPs

As the preferences are distributed in the island state, Labor look likely to take half the seats in the northern electorate, despite a lower primary...

31.07.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont

Newspoll and Resolve give Labor big leads as parliament resumes after the election

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese goes into the 48th parliament with a strong polling performance - but not as good as this time in 2022.

21.07.2025 10

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Adrian Beaumont

Liberals easily win most seats at Tasmanian election, but Labor may form government

While the final results in Tasmania’s second election in 16 months won’t be known for days, the Liberals are well ahead – but will fall short of...

19.07.2025 20

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Adrian Beaumont