menu_open Columnists
Adrian Beaumont

Adrian Beaumont

The Conversation

We use cookies to provide some features and experiences in QOSHE

More information  .  Close

Coalition surges to big lead in a Victorian Newspoll

Coalition surges to big lead in a Victorian Newspoll

The latest polling shows the Coalition on track to take majority government in Victoria, without needing One Nation’s support.

27.10.2026 60

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Democrats remain clear favourites to gain control of Congress at midterms as Trump’s ratings slide again

Democrats remain clear favourites to gain control of Congress at midterms as Trump’s ratings slide again

Democrats have a three in four chance of gaining control of the Senate, and remain overwhelming favourites to gain control of the House of...

26.10.2026 40

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

NZ election poll watch: right majority possible even if Opportunity enters parliament

NZ election poll watch: right majority possible even if Opportunity enters parliament

The latest 1News Verian poll suggests the right may not need Opportunity to form a government.

21.10.2026 200

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Democrats remain clear favourites to gain control of Congress at midterms

US President Donald Trump’s net approval is below what any past president since Harry Truman had at this point in their term, with Joe Biden the...

19.10.2026 90

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

DemosAU MRP poll has Labor winning clear majority of House seats on just 27% of primary vote

A new batch of polls bring better news for the Albanese Labor government, with support for One Nation seeming to have eased off.

14.10.2026 100

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Labor and the Greens improve in Newspoll and Resolve and One Nation drops

Despite another interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank, the Labor government’s polling has improved.

12.10.2026 100

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

NZ election poll watch: Opportunity holds as potential kingmaker in tight race

One poll gives the left bloc its first lead in any poll since June, but another has the right bloc still in front. Opportunity has an opportunity.

07.10.2026 80

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Republicans continue to slide in US polls, four weeks before midterm elections

Americans are deeply unhappy with the Iran war and inflation, and the president and fellow Republicans are paying the price.

07.10.2026 80

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Albanese’s poll slump after interest rate hike

In a federal Redbridge poll, the total vote for One Nation and the Coalition has been steady since late August at 50 per cent, but Anthony...

06.10.2026 350

The New Daily

Adrian Beaumont

Albanese’s ratings slump in Redbridge poll after interest rate hike

In other polls, Victoria appears set for a change of government in its November state election.

05.10.2026 150

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Victorian DemosAU poll has Coalition’s two‑party lead narrowing, but they remain ahead

With the Victorian state election two months away, the Labor government has improved in the polls, but remain behind the Coalition.

29.09.2026 450

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

NZ election poll watch: minor parties gain as Labour and National slide

Despite gains for the Greens and slumps for Labour and National, the overall left-right balance remains largely unchanged.

29.09.2026 150

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Trump’s US ratings drop to new record low as Democrats become clear favourites in both chambers of Congress

Trump’s net approval is below what any past president since Harry Truman had at this point in their term.

25.09.2026 150

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Labor and Albanese slump to new lows in Newspoll, but Labor improves in a DemosAU poll

This is Labor’s second lowest ever primary vote in Newspoll, which they had last equalled in April 2012 when Julia Gillard was prime minister.

21.09.2026 200

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Coalition retains clear lead in Victorian Resolve poll, while federal polls are mixed

Labor is likely to lose the Victorian election, but it’s unclear whether the Coalition will be able to govern in majority or need support from One...

15.09.2026 90

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Democrats’ chances of gaining control of Congress at US midterms depend on Iran war

Recent polling shows if the disruption caused by the Trump administration’s war with Iran continues, Democrats will likely gain control of Congress.

14.09.2026 100

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

One Nation surges in two polls taken after Secret Harbour byelection

In a national YouGov poll, the Pauline Hanson-led party is four points ahead of the Labor government in primary votes – a record high in this poll.

09.09.2026 70

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Volatile electorate delivers mixed results for all parties in latest polls

Recent polls carry good news and bad news for all parties – and their leaders.

03.09.2026 50

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Total support for right‑wing parties rises in Newspoll before Secret Harbour byelection

The gain means Labor’s two-party vote against One Nation would likely drop.

31.08.2026 50

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

One Nation thumps Labor to gain WA state seat of Secret Harbour at byelection

Pauline Hanson’s party takes the outer-Perth seat from Labor in a win that will have the major parties worried.

30.08.2026 40

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Mixed results for One Nation and the Coalition in latest federal polls

A DemosAU poll has the Coalition up and One Nation down, while two other polls show Pauline Hanson’s party is still on the rise.

26.08.2026 90

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

NZ election poll watch: right still leads left, but Opportunity could deny it a majority

With just over two months until the election, polls have settled into a new normal, with no clear frontrunner evident.

25.08.2026 50

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Victorian polls have Coalition leading Labor by narrow to large margins

About three months out from the Victorian state election, the five polls released since the state got a new premier all show the Coalition in front.

21.08.2026 80

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Resolve poll suggests more voters support Labor’s federal budget changes than oppose them

While federal Labor remains ahead in most polls three months after the budget, Victorian Labor is trailing the Liberals ahead of the November state...

17.08.2026 80

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Trump’s net approval is near record low, with Democrats favoured to gain control of Congress at midterms

The US president’s approval rating is well below other past presidents at this point in their terms.

12.08.2026 60

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Newspoll has combined right vote down, but Albanese’s ratings slump

Despite a slump in Albanese’s approval rate, he maintains a comfortable lead as preferred prime minister.

10.08.2026 60

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Two Victorian polls have the Coalition leading Labor, with One Nation down

In the immediate aftermath of Labor’s leadership spill, new polls bring better news for the struggling Coalition.

04.08.2026 80

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Labor only trailed narrowly in a Victorian Newspoll despite Allan’s dismal ratings

With a new premier in Ben Carroll, Labor’s chances of winning the November election are likely to improve.

29.07.2026 60

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Special DemosAU poll has Labor well short of a parliamentary majority

If this poll’s results were reflected at an election, Labor would lose its majority, with One Nation and the Coalition combined leading Labor in...

27.07.2026 60

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Newspoll has right‑wing parties rebounding from a slump three weeks ago

After a post-Press Club address slump, One Nation has picked up again in the polls.

20.07.2026 60

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Mixed bag for One Nation in latest polls as voters show wariness around some policies

New polls from DemosAU and Resolve suggest Hanson has unpopular policies, which Labor will attack closer to the election.

14.07.2026 60

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Victorian Redbridge poll has One Nation just ahead of Labor and the Coalition

With a state election set for late November, a new poll has One Nation ahead of the two major parties.

06.07.2026 50

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Labor gains in three further polls; Trump’s ratings recover slightly

Three new federal polls since Monday produce a mixed bag of results for One Nation, but all good news for the government.

01.07.2026 60

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Two new polls show drop in support for One Nation and the Coalition

Support for Labor and the Greens combined is up five points to 46% in Newspoll and four points to 44% in Redbridge.

29.06.2026 80

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

One Nation’s surge continues in polls as Andy Burnham set to become next UK PM

In polls taken partly after Pauline Hanson’s address at the National Press Club, her party’s vote has climbed further.

23.06.2026 60

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Latest polls still have One Nation leading on primary votes, but not gaining

Meanwhile, the Allan government is in trouble in Victoria ahead of November’s state election.

17.06.2026 50

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Two polls have Labor third on primary votes, five months out from the Victorian election

Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan’s approval rating has hit dire levels. Meanwhile, Pauline Hanson leads as preferred prime minister in federal...

15.06.2026 60

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Two polls have Labor trailing on primary votes, five months out from the Victorian election

Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan’s approval rating has hit dire levels. Meanwhile, Pauline Hanson leads as preferred prime minister in federal...

15.06.2026 50

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

One Nation takes primary vote lead in Newspoll as Albanese’s ratings slump to record low

Anthony Albanese’s net approval slumped seven points to -24, a record low below his previous record low -21 in February 2025.

09.06.2026 90

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

One Nation surges to first on primary votes in two new polls

Both Redbridge and YouGov polls have Pauline Hanson’s party ahead of the government, before preferences.

03.06.2026 90

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Special poll has Labor barely winning majority as One Nation continues to gain

A Redbridge MRP poll has Labor winning 76 seats. The Coalition would secure just 12 seats in the House of Representatives compared to One Nation’s 53.

27.05.2026 70

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Further post‑budget polls have Labor down, but retaining a clear lead

While Labor has taken a hit, One Nation has gained one to three points in all five federal post-budget polls.

20.05.2026 60

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

One Nation gains in polls, budget is poorly received

In three credible post-budget polls, One Nation is up one to three points, with its victory at the May 9 Farrer byelection probably also contributing....

19.05.2026 70

The New Daily

Adrian Beaumont

One Nation gains in polls as budget is poorly received in Newspoll

The budget is among the most worst rating since Newspoll started surveying people about it in 1988, but Labor remains ahead.

18.05.2026 70

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Trump’s ratings slide further, but gerrymanders will help Republicans at midterm elections

Trump’s net approval is below what any past president since Harry Truman had at this point in their term.

15.05.2026 70

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

One Nation wins Farrer byelection as Liberal vote crashes

David Farley’s win means One Nation has won its first election for a federal House of Representatives seat.

09.05.2026 70

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Albanese’s ratings jump in federal polls; Liberals easily retain Nepean at Victorian byelection

Anthony Albanese’s net favourability is up, according to a national Redbridge and Accent Research poll.

04.05.2026 70

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Trump’s US ratings are near a record low after dropping further last week

The president’s net approval is below what any past president since Harry Truman had at this point in their term.

29.04.2026 70

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

Slump for Labor in YouGov survey, but not in other federal polls

Federal Labor is stable in the polls - except for a new YouGov survey. Meanwhile, the Coalition leads in a Victorian Resolve poll.

22.04.2026 80

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont

One Nation’s rise turns around as Newspoll and Resolve both have Labor well ahead

The latest batch of polling shows some mixed results for both the prime minister and the opposition leader.

20.04.2026 100

The Conversation

Adrian Beaumont