Adam Pankratz: After being gaslit for years, suddenly, we're told there's a business case for LNG
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Adam Pankratz: After being gaslit for years, suddenly, we're told there's a business case for LNG
This week, Minister Tim Hodgson said that he'd heard from our allies in Asia and Europe who want to by gas directly from Canada
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Even though we all know on some level the government lies to us, it still always hurts a little bit when our suspicions are blatantly confirmed.
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Minister of Energy and Natural Resources Tim Hodgson offered this sad confirmation to the country in an interview this week when asked about the Canadian opportunity in LNG, following the disruption to Qatar’s LNG production due to the war in Iran.
Adam Pankratz: After being gaslit for years, suddenly, we're told there's a business case for LNG Back to video
The damage has caused Qatar to declare force majeure for several of its contracts with European nations, due to its capacity to produce being reduced by 17 per cent for a period of three to five years, following a ballistic missile strike at the Ras Laffan facility.
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With Qatar unable to deliver the gas Europe desperately needs after deciding to free itself from the threat of cutoff from Russian gas, the opportunity for Canadian LNG is obvious.
When asked recently about the opportunity Minister Hodgson answered that “We are hearing directly from our allies in Asia, our allies in Europe, that they want to buy gas directly from us.”
Well blow me down, colour me shocked, and knock me down with a feather.
You don’t say? Europe would rather deal with Canada than Qatar? Europe, which does its best to consistently display its virtues and human rights adherence, would rather get LNG from Canada, a long-time ally?
Europe would rather deal with Canada than Qatar, a country with dubious human rights records, which cares much more about a short-term, opportunistic economic relationship with Germany following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Europe’s desperate need for gas?
While refreshing to hear, the belated public acknowledgment of what many of us knew years ago isn’t anywhere near as valuable now as it might have been.
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Some will recall that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stood next to German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and said there was “No business case for LNG,” when Germany had practically come begging for Canada to build an LNG pipeline and sell them our gas.
About four months after Trudeau made that statement, Germany signed a 15-year deal with Qatar for the apparently valueless LNG Trudeau had in Canada.
The chickens of Canada’s unbelievably myopic and shortsighted energy development policy continue to come home to roost.
While former minister and part-time CN Tower scaler Steven Guilbeault insisted as recently as last May that no new pipelines were needed in Canada, and that the Trans Mountain pipeline was at less than half capacity, we continue to learn just how wrong and misleading this all was.
Earlier this month, Trans Mountain put out bids to up its capacity by over 300,000 barrels per day because demand is again outstripping pipeline supply. Political wishes and words are simply not aligned with the world’s energy reality.
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By swallowing an unrealistic green agenda whole hog, the government has made Canadians poorer. This should be a national scandal and emergency.
Yet, despite the alarm bells again ringing in the global energy supply chains, Minister Hodgson and Prime Minister Mark Carney have little to offer but florid words and promises; nothing has actually changed. The Major Projects office hasn’t approved a single new project which was not already underway. The new Alberta pipeline MOU hasn’t advanced any further due to business uncertainty.
All the while, the world continues to look for energy elsewhere, notably the United States.
Carney and Hodgson have thus far talked a good game. Refreshing as the words may have been, syntax and good grammar doesn’t move gas molecules and oil. Only steel in the ground can do that, and right now, it simply isn’t happening fast enough.
Adam Pankratz is a lecturer at the University of British Columbia’s Sauder School of Business.
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