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Has the Scottish election just caught fire thanks to Wes Streeting?

23 0
13.04.2026

Twenty five days to go and where are we at in this election campaign? Well, that question last week would have been answered by a shrug of the shoulders and a “meh”, such was the lacklustre feel of the whole affair.

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But two things have happened which could finally set this campaign alight and make the electorate sit up and take notice.

First was the MRP analysis of polls which predicted an outright majority for the SNP - and that Labour would not only fail to win any constituency seats but would have its worse result since the advent of devolution.

The work by YouGov used thousands of simulations based on its own data and modelling found the SNP won an outright majority 89 per cent of the time.

It put John Swinney’s party on 67 MSPs - anything 65 and above would see him claim a mandate for a second referendum, using he says, the precedent that was set out in 2011 when the SNP “broke” the proportional representation voting system to win a majority, and which saw the then Tory government accept a referendum on independence should be held.

So far in this campaign, while that is clearly the SNP’s........

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