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W. Joseph Campbell, Opinion Contributor

W. Joseph Campbell, Opinion Contributor

The Hill

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Polls were largely accurate in anticipating close Trump-Harris race 

Pollsters likely will cheer this year’s results.

06.11.2024 6

The Hill

W. Joseph Campbell, Opinion Contributor

The close election that ended in a rout: Could 2024 be a replay of 1980? 

there have been a few murmurs among analysts that the election endgame could repeat that of 1980, when pollsters erroneously projected a close race...

31.10.2024 10

The Hill

W. Joseph Campbell, Opinion Contributor

Surprises, outliers, oddities: What to anticipate in the campaign’s closing days 

Drawing on those and other lessons of presidential elections past, here are some reminders about what could command attention in the campaign’s...

21.10.2024 90

The Hill

W. Joseph Campbell, Opinion Contributor

What can we learn from polling failures of the past? 

These cases together remind us that error stalks even the most confident of forecasts and that elite opinion is not always astute or discerning.

01.10.2024 90

The Hill

W. Joseph Campbell, Opinion Contributor

Bill O'Reilly: Trump doesn't do the adviser thing

Bill O'Reilly said former President Donald Trump could gain momentum on the campaign trail by listening to his advisers.

21.08.2024 90

The Hill

W. Joseph Campbell, Opinion Contributor

Is Kamala setting herself up for a Dewey-versus-Truman defeat? 

The tenor of the campaigns, then and now, project some striking similarities.  

21.08.2024 90

The Hill

W. Joseph Campbell, Opinion Contributor

Harris is catching up after a predicted Trump ‘landslide’ — but can we trust the polls? 

While presidential campaigns have been decidedly closer in the 40 years since the Reagan-Mondale race, it is nonetheless instructive to look back at...

15.08.2024 90

The Hill

W. Joseph Campbell, Opinion Contributor

Don’t bet on those Trump ‘landslide’ predictions just yet 

The failed assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump has led to speculation that he is headed for a victory of “landslide”...

17.07.2024 100

The Hill

W. Joseph Campbell, Opinion Contributor

It's time to retire the laziest cliché in election polling 

Opinion polling has no lazier cliché than “snapshot in time.” 

17.04.2024 90

The Hill

W. Joseph Campbell, Opinion Contributor

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