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John Black

John Black

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Tips for reading the polling on who will win the election

In the years since Hawke won government, the Labor vote has moved steadily up the income range, from tradies to very well-paid professionals, mainly...

26.02.2025 8

Financial Review

John Black

Victoria byelection results could be terminal for Albanese

If state Labor and the Greens can’t hold state seats such as Werribee and Prahran in Victoria, things are looking terminal for the Albanese...

05.02.2025 9

Financial Review

John Black

It looks like Albo might need that beach house in 2025

There is a disconnect between the prime minister’s regime and its senior ministers, which is starting to trigger bad memories for me of the Whitlam...

27.12.2024 4

Financial Review

John Black

Labor can take no comfort from Queensland election

ALP candidates won over many traditional Green voters on Saturday, but there is little sign of the party picking up federal seats in early 2025.

27.10.2024 2

Financial Review

John Black

Queensland vote a pivotal moment for Greens

Unlike in the 2022 federal election, the Coalition is preferencing Labor ahead of the Greens for this weekend’s state election.

25.10.2024 2

Financial Review

John Black

Both sides a chance of forming minority government after the election

My current estimates are that the Coalition will comfortably win more seats in the House of Representatives than Labor in 2025.

15.09.2024 1

Financial Review

John Black