They say you can tell a lot about a person by their dreams, so it's telling that every election the Democratic Party and the mainstream media fantasize about turning Texas blue.

From local and national Democratic officials to newspapers, magazines and cable networks, the buzz ahead of every midterm and presidential election for years has been the same: This is the year Texas finally elects a statewide Democrat. This year's races are no exception – the U.S. Senate contest between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton, and the governor's race between incumbent Greg Abbott and Democrat Gina Hinojosa.

How tight are Abbott and Paxton's races?

Abbott is faring well in the run-up to this election. Polymarket, a prediction betting site that's often accurate, puts his odds of beating Hinojosa at 83%. Even the RealClearPolitics polling average has Abbott up by 4 percentage points. But that hasn't stopped Democrats and legacy news outlets from pushing an entirely different narrative.

"Greg Abbott’s Chances of Losing Texas Governor Race as Paxton Wins Runoff," a Newsweek headline reads. The New York Times is even bolder, profiling Hinojosa under the headline "Against the Odds, This Democrat in Texas Is Giving Greg Abbott a Fight."

I had to chuckle at the implication that a Democrat even........

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