Trump Admin Report Claims 24,000 Noncitizens Voted in 2020. Experts Doubt It.
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This article was originally published by Votebeat, a nonprofit news organization covering local election administration and voting access.
President Donald Trump this week unveiled another effort by his administration to raise questions about the outcome of the 2020 election he lost: an unusual U.S. Census Bureau analysis concluding with “high confidence” that 24,000 noncitizens illegally voted in the 2020 election.
Trump touted the finding on social media and wrote that it supports his long-running false claims that he actually won the 2020 election.
But experts said there are substantial questions about the Census Bureau study’s methodology and validity. And even if 24,000 noncitizens had voted in 2020, it wouldn’t have been enough to change the election’s outcome.
The seven-page Census Bureau report said researchers examined more than 128 million voters in the 2020 presidential election and determined with “high confidence” that more than 24,000 of them were noncitizens. If so, that number would be less than 0.019% of the sample.
Trump said census researchers are still analyzing another 32 million voters and predicted that the number of illegal noncitizen votes would “explode” after that was done.
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The Census Bureau did not respond to a request for comment. But experts said some aspects of the bureau’s release raise fundamental questions.
Most Census Bureau reports identify the authors of the report and detail the reliability of the data they are using. This analysis did neither.
“A properly done Census report would have had that information and the fact that it is missing is glaring and makes me think that they are hiding something,” said Beth Jarosz, a senior fellow at Georgetown........
