You could be forgiven for wondering who and what to believe when you go on social media or look at the regime media, or listen to politicians, and you’re bombarded with all sorts of information, opinions, and assertions about the Iran War, but take heart. There’s an easy way to sift through it all to separate the wheat of valuable insights from the chaff of absolute stupidity. If somebody’s telling you that we are losing this war, he’s an idiot, or a liar, or both, and you should ignore everything he says.

Right up front, let’s be clear about something. The American and Israeli campaign against the mullahs is an unparalleled achievement in the military art, a victory so sweeping and complete that it defies any precedent. Within a couple of days, we decapitated their leadership, and not just at the neck – we’ve made the cut down around their colons. The High Poobah they started with got smoked faster than a fat doobie at Snoop Dogg‘s birthday party. Their alleged leader du jour – a guy who once had to go to England because he couldn’t make his little mullah stand at attention – is probably dead. But it’s not only impotence in the barnyard with these guys; it’s impotence on the battlefield as well. We removed their allegedly advanced integrated air defense system. We converted their surface fleet to an all-submarine navy. We’ve smashed their ability to project combat power, degrading their ballistic missile and drone forces from a fearsome fusillade to a pathetic trickle. We dominate every sphere of the battlespace, but one – air, sea, space, cyber, and the electromagnetic spectrum. The only one we don’t dominate (yet) is the ground. Still, with the Israelis taking out squad-size units of whatever the Farsi word for Gestapo is using exploding drones, and the people beginning to take to the streets, it’s only a matter of time before the mullahs lose control of the dirt, too. 

It’s a victory so complete that it increases the potential to doubt it because the achievement is so incomprehensible. Sure, they fired some missiles and drones. Yeah, the enemy gets a say. Of course, they tried to close the Straits of Hormuz, but that won’t last. Tactically, they can’t do anything to us that impacts our combat power. Our casualties in men and material are minimal. In fact, about half of our casualties are from accidents. The other half are from a lucky hit. Strategically, they’ve completely blown it. Their goal was to get the surrounding states to force America and Israel to stop by attacking Iran’s neighbors. Instead, this just ticks off the neighbors, and now they’re helping us. Great job, guys! Tired of all the winning yet?

As Clausewitz pointed out, war is simply politics with different means. The end result here will be a non-nuclear-capable Iran without a ballistic missile capability, but let’s understand that that’s not the real objective. Those are collateral benefits that come from the political effect that this war is meant to achieve. Regime change gets a bad name from stupid people who don’t know history. A........

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