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The Hispanic Middle Breaks Free

2 1
04.06.2025

The political ground beneath the Democrats is cracking, and Hispanic moderates are leading the exodus. For decades, the Democrat Party treated Hispanic voters as a monolithic, dependable voting bloc — loyal foot soldiers in the progressive coalition. But that era is over. 

The latest data confirms what many observers on the ground already knew: Hispanic moderates are walking away from the Democratic Party in numbers so large, they’re reshaping the American political map.

A new report from Catalist, a Democrat-aligned data firm, shows just how staggering the shift has been. From 2016 to 2024, Democrats have hemorrhaged support across virtually every subgroup of Hispanic voters. The decline is especially steep among working-class Hispanics, Hispanic women, younger voters, and even urban residents. In many cases, the Democratic margin has dropped by more than 22 points, and often far more.

But the real earthquake comes from the ideological center. According to data from Blue Rose Research, Democratic support among Hispanic moderates has plummeted by 46 percentage points, falling from a 62 advantage in 2016 to just 16 in 2024. That’s not a blip — it’s a realignment. Hispanic moderates now behave politically much like white moderates, voting on values........

© Townhall