Will the war with Iran boost Netanyahu’s prospects at the ballot box?
An Israeli victory in the war against Iran could give Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu a boost in the polls but is far from guaranteeing him a win in the upcoming national elections, which are currently slated to be held by late October.
Since the outbreak of the war over the weekend, the opposition has set aside its criticisms and rallied behind the government, which a majority of Israeli Jews believe can handle the conflict effectively.
According to a poll conducted earlier this week by the Israel Democracy Institute, 74 percent of Jewish Israelis trust Netanyahu to manage the war properly, with 93% expressing support for Operation Roaring Lion and 57% backing continuing operations until the ayatollahs’ regime is overthrown.
Despite this, “I would be very cautious with assuming that this war will change the prime minister’s electoral fortunes,” especially given that it remains unclear if the elections will be held on time or will be advanced to an earlier date, said Dahlia Scheindlin, an Israeli political analyst and Haaretz columnist.
Speaking with The Times of Israel, Scheindlin noted that after last summer’s war with Iran, Netanyahu and his coalition “did not get the boost that everybody was expecting and, in fact, got no boost at all” — with his bloc garnering between 48 and 54 out of 120 Knesset seats in polls.
And the last war with Iran “did nothing to change that, so caution is very much advised,” she said. “I would be very cautious of predictions jumping to the conclusion that this is going to give him another term, although I recognize that many people will........
