In three credible post-budget polls, One Nation is up one to three points, with its victory at the May 9 Farrer byelection probably also contributing.

Labor took a hit in Freshwater and Resolve, but not Newspoll.

Despite the hit in Resolve, Labor is are still comfortably ahead, but Freshwater has a 50-50 tie between it and the Coalition.

The total vote for the Coalition and One Nation was up two points to 47 per cent in both Newspoll and Resolve, but it was up three points to 51 per cent in Freshwater. Angus Taylor led Anthony Albanese as preferred PM in Freshwater and Resolve, but Albanese retained a clear lead in Newspoll.

In Newspoll’s history of budget polling, this budget is the second worst on economic impact and the third worst on personal impact.

In state politics, Labor has narrowly held the Queensland seat of Stafford at a byelection, but there was a 4 per cent two-party swing to the LNP.

A national Newspoll, conducted May 14-17 from a sample of 1252, gave Labor 31 per cent of the primary vote (steady since the mid-April Newspoll), One Nation 27 per cent (up three), the Coalition 20 per cent (down one), the Greens 12 per cent (down one) and all others 10 per cent (down one).

Labor would lead the Coalition by about 54-46 if 2025 election preference flows were applied to the primary votes, a 0.5-point gain for the Coalition.

Albanese’s net approval was steady at -17, with 57 per cent dissatisfied and 40 per cent satisfied. Taylor’s net approval was up one point to -12 (48 per cent dissatisfied, 36 per cent satisfied). Albanese led Taylor as better PM by 46-38 (46-37 previously).

Newspoll has asked three questions after every budget since 1988: Whether the budget was good or bad for the economy, good or bad for you personally and whether the opposition would have delivered a better budget.

This budget’s economic net score of -25 (47 per cent bad, 22 per cent good) is the second worst, behind only 1993’s -42. The personal impact net score of -41 (52 per cent worse off, 11 per cent better off) was the third worst, behind -70 in........

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