Talarico leads Paxton by 2 points in tightening Texas Senate race: Survey

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National Headlines-October 2 2026

National Headlines-October 2 2026

Texas state Rep. James Talarico (D) is leading state Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) by just 2 points among likely voters, according to a new Fox News poll.

The Democrat’s lead is within the poll’s 3-point margin of error and shows a tight race in the Lone Star State. Among likely voters polled, 51 percent said they support Talarico while 49 percent sided with Paxton. 

The Texas Senate race is important to both parties’ efforts to control the upper chamber, with Democrats attempting to win a state-wide race in Texas for the first time in decades. The poll shows 49 percent of likely voters said they would prefer a Democratic-controlled Senate, while 50 percent favored Republicans.

“Democrats in Texas will walk across broken glass to vote against [President] Trump, so the question is whether the average Republican will vote in an election without Trump and where the Senate race features a controversial........

© The Hill