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Fixing The Fertility Rate Starts With Getting Boys And Girls To Talk To Each Other

The relationship between men and women in the United States is strained in ways data cannot fully capture.

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The federal government’s latest fertility data released last week should put to rest the illusion that America’s demographic decline is temporary. It isn’t. It’s accelerating, and it reflects something deeper than economics. These numbers are emblematic of how American men and women no longer know how to come together.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s (CDC) annual Vital Statistics Rapid Release report, the United States recorded 3,606,400 births in 2025, with a general fertility rate of 53.1 births per 1,000 women ages 15-44. That figure has been falling for years. In 2015, it was 62.5 births per 1,000 women ages 15-44, CDC data shows. In 2005, the CDC recorded 66.7 births per 1,000 women — the highest level since 1993.

In just two decades, America has lost roughly one-fifth of its fertility. In 1950, the replacement rate was approximately 4.9; the average American woman gave birth to about 5 children. Today, the U.S. replacement rate sits at roughly 2.1, according to Our World in Data. The raw number of births tells the same story. About 4.14 million U.S. births were recorded by the CDC in 2005, while nearly 4 million births occurred in 2015. As stated above, the data shows that just over 3.6 million U.S. babies entered the world in 2025, solidifying the notion that this is a downward trend.

And yet, much of the conversation treats this like a logistical issue, as though the birth rate would rise if America just got........

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