Is President Donald Trump losing the winning coalition he built just a year ago?

He’s been the subject of premature political obituaries before—but Republicans are worried about signs that his gains with Hispanics are evaporating.

Trump stunned pundits last year by very nearly winning the Hispanic vote outright.

A constituency Democrats had come to take for granted suddenly seemed ready to realign with Republicans.

But the numbers from the off-year elections earlier this month tell a different story.

New Jersey townships with high proportions of Hispanic voters shifted heavily to the Democrats in the state’s race for governor, according to a New York Times analysis of exit polls:

“Nine of the 10 townships that shifted the most toward Democrats from 2024 to 2025 had a Hispanic population of at least 60%.”

There’s less data from Virginia on Hispanic voting, but the results there appear to tell the same story, while Hispanic communities in California backed Gov. Gavin Newsom’s referendum to redraw the Golden State’s congressional districts to give Democrats more seats.

“[T]he county with the highest share of Hispanic........

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