How Taiwan is viewing the Iran war – and what it reveals about US credibility
The United States and Israeli strikes on Iran have become increasingly concerning for the world due to the risks of further escalation and the impact on energy markets.
In Taiwan, however, the focus has shifted in a different direction.
Rather than treating the war as geographically distant, Taiwanese political leaders and analysts are viewing it as a real-time indicator of how the United States operates under strategic pressure.
The key question is less about whether the United States would act if a conflict with China were to break out in the Indo-Pacific region, and more about how it would manage competing pressures if multiple crises unfolded at once.
A test of limits, not intentions
There is growing recognition in Taiwan that US resources are not unlimited.
The Middle East war has caused energy prices to fluctuate and stoked fears of rising inflation in the United States, demonstrating the domestic costs of military operations.
US President Donald Trump’s approval ratings have also taken a hit, with some in his own party now questioning his rationale for going to war.
Some reports have indicated US supplies of interceptor missiles are running low. The US military has, for example, had to move some THAAD missile interceptors from South Korea to the Middle East. The US has also struggled to defend against Iran’s use of asymmetrical fighting tactics.
This has direct implications for the........
