Two Victorian polls have One Nation at 23–24%, but differ on which party is in the lead
Two Victorian polls have One Nation at 23–24% with Labor on top on primary votes in one and the Coalition in the other. Labor has a huge lead in New South Wales as the right vote is split under optional preferential voting. A record number of candidates will contest the March 21 South Australian election.
The Victorian election is in late November. A Freshwater poll for The Herald Sun, conducted February 19–23 from a sample of 1,030, gave Labor 28% of the primary vote (down two since the November Freshwater poll), the Coalition 27% (down ten), One Nation 23% (not previously asked for), the Greens 13% and all Others 9%. After preferences, Labor and the Coalition were tied at an unchanged 50–50.
The close result on voting intentions comes despite Labor Premier Jacinta Allan’s -33 net approval (down one point). Liberal leader Jess Wilson’s net approval was steady at 15, and Wilson led Allan as preferred premier by 46–30 (47–31 previously).
By 59–25, respondents thought the government is doing a bad job running Victoria. The Poll Bludger said that by 74–7, respondents supported a royal commission into alleged corruption within the CFMEU.
A Victorian Redbridge and Accent Research poll for The Australian Financial Review, conducted February 18–27 from a sample of 2,165, gave the Coalition 28% of the primary vote (down 12 since the December Redbridge poll), Labor 25% (down six), One Nation 24% (not previously asked for), the Greens 13% (up one) and all Others 10% (down seven).
By respondent preferences, the Coalition led Labor by 52–48, a two-point gain for the Coalition. Labor led One Nation by 53–47.
By 59–25, respondents did not think the........
