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Ford is raising its full-year profit outlook after a $1.3 billion tariff refund

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wednesday

Ford is raising its full-year profit outlook after a $1.3 billion tariff refund

The automaker's adjusted EBIT more than tripled year-over-year, and it lifted its full-year earnings guidance by $500 million at the midpoint

Bloomberg / Getty Images

Ford $F raised its full-year profit outlook after reporting first-quarter results that significantly exceeded the prior year, boosted by a $1.3 billion one-time tariff refund stemming from a U.S. Supreme Court ruling that some of President Donald Trump's tariffs were illegal.

On the top line, quarterly revenue climbed 6% to $43.3 billion, compared with $40.7 billion in the same period a year ago. Adjusted EBIT surged more than threefold, reaching $3.5 billion versus $1 billion twelve months prior. Profit attributable to shareholders came in at $2.5 billion, or 63 cents per diluted share, a dramatic improvement from $500 million, or 12 cents per share, in Q1 2025. On an adjusted basis, Ford earned 66 cents per share; Wall Street had been expecting 19 cents, according to CNBC, which cautioned that the two figures may not be directly comparable.

For the full year, Ford now targets adjusted EBIT of $8.5 billion to $10.5 billion, a $500 million improvement at the midpoint relative to its previous $8 billion to $10 billion range. Adjusted free cash flow expectations remain at $5 billion to $6 billion, with capital spending still projected between $9.5 billion and $10.5 billion. The company noted that neither a prolonged Middle East conflict nor a severe domestic economic contraction is factored into those targets.

The $1.3 billion tariff benefit — reflecting duties Ford paid between March 2025 and February 2026 under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act — primarily benefited the Ford Blue and Ford Pro segments. Ford CFO Sherry House said the company booked the refund in the first quarter because that is when the Supreme Court's decision was made, according to CNBC. According to House, aluminum prices and supplier disruptions are expected to push commodity costs up by roughly $1 billion over the course of the year, and the tariff windfall is being counted on to absorb much of that pressure.

"The rest of the beat came from strong product mix in net pricing and growth in software and physical services," House told CNBC. "Even with the one-time tariff benefit, the underlying business came in around $2.2 billion ahead of expectations."

The cash has not yet landed on Ford's balance sheet, and House said that outstanding uncertainty around how and when the reimbursement will be processed led the company to leave its automotive free cash flow target unchanged, according to CNBC.

Across Ford's three divisions, the legacy Ford Blue unit was the standout performer, generating $1.9 billion in EBIT on $23.9 billion in revenue — a steep climb from just $96 million in the prior-year quarter — with the F-Series, Bronco, Explorer, and Expedition all contributing. The commercial Ford Pro segment added $1.7 billion in EBIT on $14.7 billion in revenue. At Model e, the EV operation, losses shrank to $777 million from $849 million twelve months earlier, even as first-quarter electric vehicle sales dropped 70% compared with the same period in 2025.

Ford stock rose more than 6% in after-hours trading.

That reimbursement sits within a much larger pool — an estimated $160 billion that courts have ordered returned to businesses whose tariff payments were collected under the since-invalidated IEEPA authority, following a February 6-3 Supreme Court ruling. General Motors $GM, Ford's Detroit neighbor, disclosed a benefit of approximately $500 million from the same decision when it reported quarterly results earlier this week.

The results come as Ford has been restructuring its EV and industrial operations, merging its electric vehicle, digital, and design functions with its global industrial group under COO Kumar Galhotra. That reorganization followed a difficult stretch for Ford's EV ambitions marked by a $19.5 billion write-down and the cancellation of several electric models. Ford has also been contending with broader tariff pressure across the auto industry — the Detroit Three collectively absorbed $6.5 billion in tariff costs in 2025, according to an Automotive News analysis.

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