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US midterm elections & their geopolitical significance

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THE outcome of the 2026 US midterm elections represents more than a domestic political setback for President Donald Trump and the Republican Party. It reflects growing public dissatisfaction with the Administration’s domestic and foreign policies, particularly its involvement in the war against Iran and its unconditional support for Israel. Although Vice President JD Vance accepted that the conflict with Iran contributed significantly to the Republicans’ electoral defeat, the political reality is far more complex. Several interconnected factors, including economic anxieties, foreign policy failures, America’s declining international standing and growing public disillusionment with the Trump Administration, contributed to the Republican Party’s electoral difficulties.

Undeniably, the US-Israel military confrontation with Iran was among the most consequential strategic miscalculations of the Trump Administration. Rather than reinforcing American military supremacy and regional influence, the conflict exposed the limitations of US military power and raised serious questions about Washington’s ability to achieve its strategic objectives through military interventions. The war has also challenged the credibility of American deterrence, a central pillar of US global leadership since the Second World War. Concerns have been reported from US about the depletion of American weapons reserves, alongside the enormous financial and military costs of the conflict. This has further intensified the debate over the sustainability of America’s military commitments worldwide and its supremacy.

Perhaps the most significant strategic consequence of this confrontation has been Iran’s emergence as a more consequential military and political actor in........

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