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Opinion | Could Iran End Up Becoming Trump’s Ukraine?

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03.03.2026

Opinion | Could Iran End Up Becoming Trump’s Ukraine?

US President Trump's goal of regime change in Iran seems unattainable. Tehran uses asymmetrical tactics and proxies to stretch enemy defenses, leading to a prolonged conflict.

Where is the war in the Gulf heading? The swift resolution that US President Donald Trump hoped for appears unlikely. Not because the Iranians are not on the ropes, but because Trump’s objectives appear unattainable. Trump has said that the US, with Israel, will weaken the regime in Tehran to the point that it will melt away. And if it does not, it will be so smashed that the Iranian people will take to the streets to overthrow it. In other words, regime change is the logical endpoint.

By “Trump’s Ukraine," this would mean a protracted war of attrition that is financially draining,........

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