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Rob Breakenridge: Smith's referendum risks backfiring, handing power to the NDP

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17.10.2026

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Rob Breakenridge: Smith's referendum risks backfiring, handing power to the NDP

The Alberta premier is acutely aware that another split on the right could lead to the UCP's downfall

CALGARY — It’s possible that by this time next year, Alberta Premier Danielle Smith will be cruising toward re-election, thanks in part to a strong economy, final approval of a new pipeline and a vanquished separatist threat that’s been left firmly in the rearview mirror.

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All of that, of course, is yet to be determined. As evidenced by the recent NDP win in the Calgary-Shaw byelection, re-election is no sure thing for the United Conservative Party. Moreover, there’s no guarantee that Smith will even be at the helm of the party 12 months from now.

Rob Breakenridge: Smith's referendum risks backfiring, handing power to the NDP Back to video

There is much at stake in Monday’s referendum, not the least of which is the future of Canada. But even a vote for Confederation might not be enough to prevent the UCP from tearing itself apart and dragging conservatism down with it in the process.

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