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Governing the Lebanese Confessional State Without the Prime Minister

77 0
06.08.2026

The Washington framework agreement is discussed as a product of executive consensus. President Aoun signed. Prime Minister Salam endorsed. The cabinet approved. The institutional surface presents a unified Lebanese state negotiating with Israel under American sponsorship. The institutional reality is different. The framework was negotiated without the prime minister. Salam was not in Washington. He was not in Rome. The Minister of Foreign Affairs was not present at either venue. The Lebanese civilian government was excluded from the negotiations entirely. Salam’s later endorsement was not consent. It was capitulation to a fait accompli.

Understanding this requires understanding the structural position of the Lebanese prime minister within the confessional system. The presidency, reserved for a Maronite Christian, commands the armed forces. The speaker of parliament, reserved for a Shia Muslim, controls the legislative agenda. The prime minister, reserved for a Sunni Muslim, occupies the space between them: he leads the cabinet, manages international relationships, and provides the state with its diplomatic credibility. His authority depends on the cooperation of the president, the acquiescence of the speaker, and the compliance of the sectarian blocs whose ministers sit in his cabinet.

The framework agreement has systematically stripped each of these dependencies from the prime minister’s control while leaving him formally responsible for a policy he was excluded from creating. This is not accident. This is institutional design. Aoun has created a precedent that teaches every future actor in Lebanese politics how to govern without the prime minister.

The framework agreement has systematically stripped each of these dependencies from the prime minister’s control while leaving him formally responsible for a policy he was excluded from creating. This is not accident. This is institutional design. Aoun has created a precedent that teaches every future actor in Lebanese politics how to govern without the prime minister.

Start with the negotiation sequence. The framework was negotiated through military channels between presidential delegations and American/Israeli counterparts. The civilian government had no seat at the table. No foreign minister. No prime minister. No cabinet representative. The negotiations happened as if the Lebanese state lacked a civilian government entirely. Salam learned of the framework’s terms after they were finalized. He then endorsed it retroactively. This is not how consensual governance functions. This is how a presidency moves to exclude the prime minister from consequential decisions by creating facts before he is invited to respond.

Now consider what Salam’s exclusion signals to other........

© Middle East Monitor