Traders on prediction market Kalshi are betting there is a meaningful chance that Jensen Huang will no longer lead Nvidia within the next year, after the chipmaker's co-founder admitted to an extramarital affair and the company's board opened an investigation.

Kalshi's market asking "When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO?" priced the chance of his departure before July 1, 2027, at 33%, before Jan. 1, 2028, at 43% and before Jan. 1, 2029, at 58%, according to the platform's market page on Monday.

The near-term odds are lower. The contract for a departure before Jan. 1, 2027, was trading at about 17 to 18 cents, implying an 18% chance, with about $240,359 in trading volume.

Prediction market prices reflect the bets of traders willing to put money on an outcome. They are not forecasts from analysts or the company and can swing sharply with news and thin trading.

Why traders are betting

The market's activity comes after a dramatic week for Nvidia. Huang disclosed the affair in a message to staff. "I was unfaithful to my wife," he........

© International Business Times