Peacemaker Dies, Who Negotiates Peace Now?
There is a photograph making the rounds on social media, taken in Tehran on the night of March 17. A man in a plain black jacket walks through a crowd of ordinary people. No armoured vehicle. No security cordon. No bodyguards. His country is under bombardment. Air strikes have been hitting Iranian cities for nineteen days. And the man in charge of Iran’s entire national security apparatus has decided the safest place to be is outside, among his people, walking.
By morning, he was dead. Israeli bunker-busting bombs found him.
His name was Ali Larijani — Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, former Speaker of Parliament, former nuclear negotiator, and the most consequential back-channel diplomat the Islamic Republic had produced in four decades. A philosopher by training, a security official by vocation, and — by the testimony of every Western and Gulf diplomat who had sat across from him — the one man in Tehran who believed that the interests of the Islamic Republic could be advanced through conversation as well as through force.
They killed the peacemaker. Now they want peace.
I write from a particular vantage point on this war. I am from Kupwara, Kashmir. My father was martyred in 1992 defending a Hindu temple against militants. I served thirty-three years in the Indian Army as a Kashmiri Muslim — and spent years as Director of Military Operations, watching from inside the machinery of institutional power how decisions about conflict are made, and often, unmade. I know what it costs when the people who believe in talking are silenced by the people who believe only in force.
What has happened with Ali Larijani is a strategic catastrophe of the first order. And I do not think it is being adequately understood, either in the Western capitals that are prosecuting this war or in the regional capitals that are scrambling to stop it.
The emergency summit that Saudi Arabia convened in Riyadh on March 18 — the day after Larijani’s killing — brought together the foreign ministers of twelve Arab and Islamic nations: Egypt, Turkey, Pakistan, the UAE, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, Lebanon, Syria, and the host itself. The joint statement they issued demanded that Iran halt its missile strikes on Gulf civilian infrastructure, invoked UN Security Council Resolution 2817, and condemned Israeli attacks on Lebanon. It was, by the standards of Arab and Islamic diplomatic coordination, a genuinely unified response.
But here is what the Riyadh statement could not provide, and what everyone in that conference room understood even as they signed it: a receiving hand on the Iranian side.
A ceasefire has two ends. The Riyadh summit built one of them — a regional coalition with a unified demand and an international legal framework. The other end requires an Iranian official with the authority to commit, the credibility to make that commitment hold within Iran’s fractured security establishment, and the back-channel relationships to find the quiet formula that allows both sides to step back from the edge without losing face.
Larijani was that official. He had spent forty years building those relationships — with Gulf state diplomats, with European capitals, with the Revolutionary Guards who distrusted him and the reformists who admired him and the pragmatists in between who simply recognised that he could do things no one else could do. His institutional value was not his title. It was his accumulated, irreplaceable network of trust.
That network cannot be transferred to a successor the way a desk is transferred. It cannot be rebuilt in thirty days under bombardment. The person who replaces Larijani will inherit the role knowing that their predecessor was killed for the crime of being reasonable. What incentive does that create? Not dialogue. Demonstration. Every hardliner inside Iran’s security establishment who argued for decades that talking to the enemy is surrender has just been handed the ultimate vindication. The diplomat was killed. What is left to discuss?
This matters enormously for how the rest of the world — and specifically for how Muslim communities in South Asia watching this war — should understand what is at stake.
We are watching a conflict in which Muslim cities are being bombed, Muslim officials are being assassinated, Muslim civilians in Iran and in Lebanon and in the Gulf states are being killed or displaced, and the diplomatic architecture being assembled to stop it rests on a foundation that has just been structurally undermined by the very party whose stated goal is resolution.
We should be clear-eyed about this. Iran’s missile strikes on Gulf civilian infrastructure — airports, desalination plants, oil facilities — are indefensible under international law, regardless of what provoked them. The Riyadh statement was right to demand their cessation. But the provocation was real. The war began on February 28 with American and Israeli air strikes on Iran. Iran retaliated. Its retaliation struck countries whose relationship with Tehran had been carefully normalised through Chinese mediation just three years before. And now twelve Muslim-majority nations have gathered in Riyadh to demand that Iran stop shooting back, while the country that started the war continues to assassinate Iranian cabinet ministers on the night those same nations are meeting to call for restraint. That asymmetry does not justify any particular act of violence. But it does explain why the Riyadh framework, for all its diplomatic significance, cannot by itself produce a ceasefire. A ceasefire requires both sides to want it badly enough to accept its terms. The Riyadh statement has built the architecture on one side. On the other side, the man who would have been the architect has been turned to rubble.
Joe Kent — Trump’s own Director of the National Counterterrorism Center, a man with eleven combat deployments and a wife killed in a war he now calls manufactured — resigned last week in what amounts to a confession written from inside the American government. He said this was Iraq 2.0. Same playbook, same lies, same people behind it. He warned, more than a year ago, that Iran is not Afghanistan. That Persian civilisation has survived empires that no longer exist. That bombing Iranian cities does not break Iranian resolve. It hardens it.
He was right. The black jacket is the proof. A man chose to walk among his people in an open street while his country was under bombardment. His people did not see recklessness. They saw a form of courage that most politicians in the world could not spell. And they responded by making that black jacket the most sought-after item of clothing in Tehran overnight.
The people who killed him are about to discover what happens when you destroy the last voice of reason in a room full of people who just watched their country get bombed for something they did not start.
Larijani told his people that their loyalty was not to any individual. It was to the revolution. The revolution does not die with one man. But the possibility of ending this war through conversation — rather than through exhaustion, catastrophe, or the grinding halt of mutual destruction — may have died with this one.
That is the loss that no missile can restore and no summit can replace.
