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Stuart Rothenberg

Stuart Rothenberg

Chicago Tribune

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The United States of Canada

monday 5

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Stuart Rothenberg

Republicans hold all the keys as second Trump term begins

21.01.2025 5

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Stuart Rothenberg

The 2026 midterm elections are just around the corner

Democrats shouldn’t start counting their chickens before they’ve hatched in the 2026 fight for control of the House of Representatives. Yes,...

07.01.2025 6

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Stuart Rothenberg

Rothenberg’s Best and Worst of 2024

What a year, huh? Bet you never thought we’d see a year like 2024. A felon elected to the presidency? No problem! A president who was running for...

18.11.2024 3

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Stuart Rothenberg

Too close to call – but why Harris might win

If you currently are not in a coma, you probably have heard that the 2024 presidential race is a squeaker. Polls in the swing states are tight, and...

04.11.2024 10

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Stuart Rothenberg

Trump and Harris: A referendum or a choice

For months, I’ve argued that the Democrats need to make the 2024 presidential race a referendum on former President Donald Trump, with a focus on...

28.10.2024 4

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Stuart Rothenberg

Stop me if you’ve heard this one before: Turnout will …

It’s a laugh line almost every two years.  “Who is going to win in November? It all depends on turnout,” reply handicappers, campaign...

15.10.2024 1

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Stuart Rothenberg

Trump’s biggest problem remains Trump

One of the questions in the most recent NBC News survey, conducted Sept. 13-17, asked respondents which presidential candidate, Donald Trump or...

23.09.2024 2

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Stuart Rothenberg

So, you’re sure the presidential race will be close?

If there is one thing on which liberals and conservatives, Republicans and Democrats, journalists and political partisans all agree, it’s that...

16.09.2024 2

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Stuart Rothenberg

Harris bets on younger voters. But will they turn out?

In 2024, younger voters could be a crucial part of the Democratic coalition. But it’s unclear how many voters under 30 years old will turn out...

03.09.2024 1

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Stuart Rothenberg

Still your father’s (and grandfather’s) Democratic Party

About a month ago I looked at how the Republican Party had changed, in terms of its values agenda, and tone. Well, the Democratic Party has changed...

19.08.2024 4

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Stuart Rothenberg

Toss-up, but with an edge to Kamala Harris

A month or so ago, the 2024 presidential contest looked like a possible blow-out for former President Donald Trump. Sure, some polls found the race...

12.08.2024 2

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Stuart Rothenberg

Have the 2024 fundamentals changed?

I always chuckle when I see a “confidential memorandum” that has been widely circulated. How “confidential” can it be if everyone can read it?...

29.07.2024 1

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Stuart Rothenberg