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Paul Whiteley

Paul Whiteley

The Conversation

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Three graphs that show what’s happening with Donald Trump’s popularity

Three graphs that show what’s happening with Donald Trump’s popularity

Donald Trump’s popularity is not much different when you compare older and younger voters.

25.03.2025 3

The Conversation

Paul Whiteley

Two charts that explain why Reform isn’t being dented by its scandals

Nigel Farage is engaged in a very public spat with Rupert Lowe, one of his MPs. But it hasn’t dented Reform’s polling. Here’s why.

14.03.2025 4

The Conversation

Paul Whiteley

The US stock market does better under Democrat presidents than Republicans – here’s what the data shows

A dip into historical data shows that the stock market has responded differently under Republican and Democrat presidents.

28.01.2025 2

The Conversation

Paul Whiteley

Could trusting each other more unlock economic growth?

Trust in Britain’s institutions is in bad shape, according to recent data from the European Social Survey. Trust is important because a good deal...

20.12.2024 4

The Conversation

Paul Whiteley

Is Reform really pulling ahead of Labour? Polling expert on what to really make of Farage’s supposed lead

Much has been made of the news that Reform has overtaken Labour in voting intentions in a recent poll. The poll, produced by market research agency...

13.12.2024 4

The Conversation

Paul Whiteley

How game theory predicts Trump might not do all that he threatens over Ukraine, Taiwan and Nato

Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential elections has left many across the world unsure about what he might do in his next term, and whether...

18.11.2024 10

The Conversation

Paul Whiteley

Harris nudges ahead of Trump in the polls – but could the economy prove her downfall?

The current US vice-president and Democratic presidential candidate, Kamala Harris, appears to have nudged ahead of her Republican rival, Donald...

24.10.2024 2

The Conversation

Paul Whiteley

Why the Tories may be wasting their time trying to compete with Reform

The spectre of the Reform party has been haunting the Tories since the general election. There is a general consensus that Reform split the vote on...

18.10.2024 10

The Conversation

Paul Whiteley

Harris leads Trump in the polls – here’s what they really tell us about her chances

Poll data shows that Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in the US presidential election campaign. She has an average vote intention score of...

27.09.2024 4

The Conversation

Paul Whiteley

What are the political consequences of austerity? A history lesson for Keir Starmer

The British government has argued that a black hole exists in the public finances to the tune of £22 billion in this financial year. It claims that...

20.09.2024 2

The Conversation

Paul Whiteley