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Mohamed A. El-Erian

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Bloomberg

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US Recession Odds Are Becoming Unsettlingly High

04.03.2025 2

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The Fed Will Duck and Weave on Policy, But Not for Long

28.01.2025 6

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The Three Forces Shifting the Investment Landscape

27.01.2025 10

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The UK Can Find Its Place in Trump’s America

What happens in the US economy doesn’t always stay there, particularly when it comes to the UK. With this in mind, a delicate balance of pragmatism...

07.01.2025 10

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Bond Vigilantes Are Putting Governments on Notice

On a rather quiet final Friday of the year, I used my Bloomberg Terminal to check how key government bond yields in advanced economies have changed...

31.12.2024 10

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The Fed Faces an Important Choice After This Rate Cut

There is widespread agreement in markets and among economists that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its policy meeting on Wednesday....

17.12.2024 10

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

This Is Not France's "Truss" Moment

Quite a few observers have described the dramatic fall of the Barnier government in France not just as a political crisis but also an economic and...

05.12.2024 3

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

China Has Taken Out an Insurance Policy, Not a Bazooka

With many having characterized China as “uninvestible” just a few months ago, investors’ enthusiastic response in recent weeks to a perceived...

10.10.2024 4

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

How to Think About the Surprising US Jobs Data

Judging from the public commentary, last Friday’s US jobs report confused economists in terms of their understanding of economic developments in...

07.10.2024 6

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Labour Is Making British Consumers Feel Too Bad

In an ironic twist, the new UK government is finding that its honest communication and cautious fiscal approach are not being seen as offering more...

20.09.2024 2

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

Labour Is Risking Its Encouraging Economic Start

Having campaigned on the importance of strong, inclusive and sustainable prosperity, the Labour government wasted no time following its election in...

16.09.2024 10

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The Stakes Are High for Powell at Jackson Hole

Welcome to Jackson Hole week. It’s a week in which Wyoming, better known for its spectacular landscapes, becomes the center of the policy world as...

19.08.2024 10

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The Market May Be Too Aggressive on Fed Rate Cuts

The inflation numbers this week — both for producer and consumer prices — have served to reassure markets in two distinct ways: confirming...

14.08.2024 1

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian

The Fed Should Resist Placating Markets

Family Feud, a popular game show when I was growing up, would ask contestants to guess how a group of people had answered a specific question. It...

06.08.2024 1

Bloomberg

Mohamed A. El-Erian