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Mark Mellman, Opinion ContributorThe Hill |
Democrats have struggled to build an audience for their progressive podcasts and influencers, as the right-wing media has been more successful in...
The country is awash in hundreds, if not thousands, of election analyses, but many of the tools being employed are laden with problems and pitfalls...
The correlation between Senate and presidential votes has been increasing, with 2024 yielding four mismatches, but the average difference between...
Assessing the accuracy of polls is much more complicated than it looks.
Democrats should not be surprised by the election results, as fundamentals such as the economy, incumbency, and the incumbent president's approval...
The game of deciding who decides elections is a complex one, with no clear definition of who decides the outcome, and the interaction of all...
Donald Trump's appeal is based on uniting three strands of conservatism, aversion to government, aversion to change, and aversion to difference,...
The correlation between presidential and Senate votes has increased significantly over the past few decades, with Democrats outperforming their...
Vice President Kamala Harris has seen a dramatic reversal in her favorability ratings, with voters now viewing her as net favorable by 3 points in...
Donald Trump's first reaction to any pressure is to lie. Trump is also frighteningly gullible, seemingly unable to distinguish trustworthy sources...
Debates are rarely decisive in determining the outcome of presidential elections, with the impact of a debate being minimal and often overshadowed...
Replacing Joe Biden with Kamala Harris at the top of the ticket weeks before the convention led to a shift of less than a point and a half. ...
The impact of an assassination attempt on an election is unpredictable, with some politicians benefiting from the incident while others do not, as...