Midwest Shows DSA Left Could Take Over the Democrat Party
It's worth poking around the entrails of the returns for the agonizingly close and, given the pre-primary polls, surprising results of recent Democrat primaries in the key swing Midwestern states of Michigan and Wisconsin, with a side look at Minnesota.
These results highlight a basic split between the constituencies that have suddenly come to dominate the Democrat primary electorate, neither of which much resembles the white working-class demographic, the memory of which Democrat politicians invoke nostalgically, though its members mostly vote for Trump Republicans these days.
In both Michigan's senatorial and Wisconsin's gubernatorial primaries, the results were so close that it's useful to express them in the usually supererogatory tenths of a percentage.
In Michigan, the Woke 2 (to use Democrat Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's (NY-14) terminology) candidate Abdul El-Sayed beat Democrat Rep. Haley Stevens (MI-11) by a margin of one percentage point. In Wisconsin, the establishment choice, Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley, beat Assemblywoman Francesca Hong by 0.4 percentage points.
Switches of just 8,000 votes in Michigan and 2,000 votes in Wisconsin would have changed the results.
Just as El-Sayed's victory does not prove that a candidate who emphasized issues out of the Democratic Socialists of America playbook is a sure winner, Hong's defeat does not prove that such a candidate is a sure loser.
Both have proven that a DSA-type candidate can be a serious contender for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028, a year in which, if current trends continue, the Democrat nominee would be favored to win the presidency.
Looking back, one can see how changes in........
