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The Upcoming Script Flip on Israel’s Lebanon War

65 0
09.04.2026

Iranian state television declared today that the Iranian-mined Strait of Hormuz was closed once again. Minutes later, maritime tracking data from MarineTraffic showed the Panama-flagged, United States Treasury-sanctioned oil tanker AUROURA executed a sharp 180-degree turn while approaching the strait’s exit and headed back into the Persian Gulf. The vessel, long documented moving Iranian crude in violation of sanctions, never crossed. This is not a random disruption. It is the exact sequence I detailed in my recent column on the Pakistan-brokered ceasefire.

That indirect arrangement, engineered through Islamabad under Chinese pressure and announced by President Trump as a two-week suspension of strikes, left Iran’s nuclear infrastructure largely intact and its Mediterranean proxy untouched. Now Tehran signals its contempt by throttling the waterway that carries 20 percent of global petroleum consumption and roughly 25 percent of all seaborne oil trade.

Due to this reality, the Israel Defense Forces responded with their largest coordinated airstrikes yet on Hezbollah targets across southern Lebanon and the Bekaa Valley. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu stated plainly that Lebanon was never part of the Iran arrangement. President Trump and Vice President Vance confirmed the same. Yet the international narrative has already begun its familiar pivot.

Just as they did during the Gaza operation and the Iran exchanges, the leftist international media, globalist editorial boards, and foreign diplomats will soon demand that Israel halt its Lebanon campaign to “preserve regional calm.” Like the weak French government and the corrupt-communist Spanish regime today, they will frame the strikes as the provocation, ignore the threat Hezbollah poses, and insist that any Iranian retaliation traces back to Jerusalem rather than Tehran’s own breach.

The numbers........

© The Times of Israel (Blogs)