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How the Iran War Can Fracture the MAGA Coalition

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13.03.2026

Two weeks into the war with Iran, or Operation Epic Fury as it’s called in the United States, a political fault line is beginning to appear.

At first, the military strikes against Iranian targets produced a patriotic, rally-around-the-flag reaction. Many Republicans instinctively backed the operation. Iran has long been seen by conservatives as one of America’s most dangerous adversaries, responsible for decades of terrorism, proxy warfare, and regional instability.

But wars today are not judged by their opening salvo. They are judged by their costs both in human lives and dollars, their duration, and the clarity of their objectives.

After two weeks, support for the war is quietly beginning to erode, not just among Democrats and independents (which is to be expected in today’s American political climate), but within parts of Donald Trump’s own political base.

For Israelis watching the war from bomb shelters and safe rooms, this shift in American political sentiment is not just an academic observation. It may become one of the most important variables shaping how long the US remains engaged in the conflict.

The MAGA Coalition Was Never a Traditional War Coalition

One of the defining features of Trump’s political movement is its break with decades of Republican foreign policy consensus.

The Republican Party that supported wars in Iraq and Afghanistan was built on a traditional national........

© The Times of Israel (Blogs)