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After Iran, After Ukraine: The Age of Easy Invasions Is Over

67 0
02.04.2026

The war with Iran has entered its second month, and the gap between military rhetoric and military reality is becoming harder to ignore. The United States and Israel continue to strike Iranian targets. Iran continues to retaliate across the region. The Strait of Hormuz remains under severe pressure. Global anxiety over energy, shipping, fertilizer, and food security is growing. Yet for all the firepower involved, the conflict has not produced the kind of clean strategic outcome that modern states still like to promise at the start of wars.

That matters far beyond this particular confrontation.

What this war is revealing, with unusual clarity, is something that the war in Ukraine had already begun to prove: large-scale invasion is no longer the straightforward instrument of victory it once seemed to be. In an era of drones, real-time intelligence, distributed military networks, and long-range precision strikes, it is becoming far harder to mass forces, penetrate territory, and impose control at an acceptable cost.

For Israel, this is not an abstract military theory. It is a strategic reality.

Israel’s interest in the current war is obvious and immediate. No country has a stronger reason to fear an Iranian nuclear capability. Israel’s geographical vulnerability is not a slogan; it is a permanent condition. A country with limited strategic depth cannot treat the prospect of a hostile regional power reaching a nuclear threshold as just another diplomatic file. That is why the campaign against Iran’s nuclear infrastructure has been understood in Jerusalem not as optional policy, but as a matter of national survival.

And yet survival does not erase military limits.

Why This War Has Not Produced a Quick Result

Much of the public conversation surrounding this war has oscillated between two fantasies. The first is that air power alone can quickly solve the problem. The second is that if air power is insufficient, a dramatic........

© The Times of Israel (Blogs)