menu_open Columnists
We use cookies to provide some features and experiences in QOSHE

More information  .  Close

Forward bases may become America’s Achilles’ heel

14 0
saturday

Recent Iranian retaliatory actions targeting U. S. military installations in the Middle East have raised a critical question – whether US military bases still enhance the military power of the country or are becoming a strategic liability? The United States currently maintains approximately 750 military bases worldwide which shows the largest overseas deployment in the world.

This is in sharp contrast to the traditional isolationist policy of the US, considering that the country’s first president, George Washington, famously warned against permanent entanglements in foreign conflicts. In his farewell address, he advised that the United States should “steer clear of permanent alliances with any portion of the foreign world.” For much of its early history, the United States broadly followed this cautious approach. However, the geopolitical landscape changed dramatically after World War II and the world witnessed the onset of the Cold War.

Confronted with the expansion of the Soviet Union, Washington constructed a vast network of alliances and overseas bases designed to deter adversaries and project military power across strategic regions. These bases became the backbone of American global strategy, strengthening conventional and nuclear deterrence while reassuring allies of Washington’s commitment to their security. Today, maintaining this global network comes at a significant cost. The United States spends approximately $55 billion annually to sustain overseas military bases, which is about one-twelfth of its defense budget.

Yet Washington continues to invest in these installations because they serve several key strategic functions. Forward bases allow the United States to rapidly deploy forces, support allies during crises, and maintain a visible security presence in volatile regions such as the Middle East and the Indo-Pacific. For decades, this strategy appeared highly effective. The presence of U.S. forces on foreign soil reassured allies and strengthened the credibility of American extended deterrence.

It also allowed the United States to respond swiftly to emerging conflicts without the need for lengthy mobilization. However, recent developments suggest that the strategic environment is changing in ways that challenge the traditional logic of forward deployments. Advances in precision missile technology as well as emergence of drone warfare have dramatically increased the vulnerability of fixed military installations. Bases that once symbolized American power are now increasingly exposed as targets. The Middle East illustrates this emerging dilemma.

Iran possesses one of the largest ballistic missile arsenals in the region, including multiple types of short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) capable of striking U.S. facilities across the region. Many of these missiles rely on solid-fuel technology, allowing them to be stored for long periods and launched with minimal preparation time. Such capabilities significantly reduce warning time and complicate defensive responses. Moreover, U.S. bases are no longer threatened solely by state adversaries. Non-state actors, including militia groups armed with drones and rockets, have repeatedly targeted American facilities in the region.

This evolving threat environment raises an uncomfortable question: Are forward bases still a source of deterrence, or have they become convenient targets that invite escalation? The challenge is not merely operational but strategic. Fixed bases built for the Cold War era were designed to deter large conventional conflicts between major powers. Yet modern warfare increasingly relies on precision strikes, drones, and missile systems that can neutralize large installations without direct confrontation. In this context, the very infrastructure intended to project stability may inadvertently increase regional tensions and vulnerability.

None of this suggests that overseas bases have lost their strategic value entirely. They remain vital for alliance management, intelligence coordination, and rapid military response. However, the changing character of warfare demands a fundamental reassessment of how these bases are structured, protected, and deployed. Instead of relying on large, concentrated installations, the United States may need to adopt more flexible and dispersed force structures, invest in advanced missile defense systems, and develop mobile deployment capabilities that reduce vulnerability to precision strikes.

It is important to combine all these with the hardened military systems to protect all kind of military assets. In short, the era of static military dominance may be giving way to a new era of distributed and resilient military presence. The debate over overseas bases is therefore not simply about costs or alliances. It is about whether the United States is prepared to adapt its global military posture to a rapidly evolving technological and strategic environment. If Washington continues to rely on Cold War–era deployment models in an age of precision warfare, its most visible symbols of power could increasingly become its most exposed vulnerabilities.

(The writer is Associate Professor & Head, Department of Liberal Arts & Humanities Chandigarh University.)

The expanding conflict involving Iran, Israel and the United States has already demonstrated a harsh reality about modern warfare: the most immediate battlefield is often the global economy.

PUCL urges PM Modi to break silence on “illegal war on Iran”

The People's Union for Civil Liberties (PUCL) has written an open letter to Prime Minister Narendra Modi urging for breaking of"unconstitutional silence" of the Government of India on the "illegal"war on Iran.

Jaishankar speaks to Iranian FM again as tensions mount in West Asia

Amid heightened tensions in West Asia, External Affairs Minister SJaishankar had another conversation last night over the phone with hisIranian counterpart Abbas Araghchi on bilateral matters and otherissues of significance.

You might be interested in

‘Big hits, big wins’: Trump says US strikes shattered Iran’s military; Kharg Island bombed

‘Big hits, big wins’: Trump says US strikes shattered Iran’s military; Kharg Island bombed

US-Israel-Iran war LIVE Updates: Tehran fires missiles in ‘Operation True Promise 4’, tensions soar

US-Israel-Iran war LIVE Updates: Tehran fires missiles in ‘Operation True Promise 4’, tensions soar

‘Trash it’: Piyush Goyal pushes back against speculation on India delaying US trade deal

‘Trash it’: Piyush Goyal pushes back against speculation on India delaying US trade deal


© The Statesman