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One Nation could overtake Coalition as opposition

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Australia may be on a trajectory where One Nation overtakes the Coalition to become the nation’s main right-wing party.

The Coalition’s primary vote slumped four points to a record low 24 per cent in the latest Newspoll, while One Nation was up four points to a record high 15 per cent.

One Nation also surged to 15 per cent in an Essential poll.

The national Newspoll, conducted October 27–30 from a sample of 1265 voters, gave Labor a 57–43 per cent lead over the Coalition, unchanged from the previous Newspoll in early October.

Primary votes were 36 per cent for Labor (down one point), 24 per cent for the Coalition (down four points), 15 per cent for One Nation (up four points), 11 per cent for the Greens (down one point) and 14 per cent for all others (up two points).

Analyst Kevin Bonham said the poll set or matched a few records:

The Coalition’s previous worst primary vote was 27 per cent in a mid-September Newspoll.

In the new Newspoll, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s net approval was down four points to -5, with 51 per cent of voters dissatisfied with his performance and 46 per cent satisfied.

Opposition leader Sussan Ley’s net approval slumped 13 points to -33; she has dropped 24 points since........

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