Pierre Poilievre is widely expected to comfortably win a leadership-review vote on Friday at the Conservative convention in Calgary.Jennifer Gauthier/Reuters

There’s always the chance that there will be a quick rerun of last year’s federal election, even within a matter of months. That’s a prospect that will be helpful to Pierre Poilievre over the next day or two. After that, it will make things a little tricky.

For all the rough knocks that Mr. Poilievre has suffered over the past year – blowing an election he once seemed sure to win, losing his own riding, and watching his personal poll ratings sink – he has impressively maintained a hold on his leadership of the Conservative Party.

His loyalists argue that he energized a conservative movement and built a new voting coalition that gave the party 41 per cent in last year’s election – but there was, and is, some lingering discontent and second-guessing. Two MPs crossed the floor. It’s not easy to persuade a party to keep you after a loss. Ask Mr. Poilievre’s two immediate predecessors, Erin O’Toole and Andrew Scheer.

Yet Mr. Poilievre is widely expected to comfortably win a leadership-review vote on Friday at the Conservative convention in Calgary.........

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