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Home – China–Taiwan Conflict News – Will China Really Invade Taiwan in the Next Five Years?

Will China Really Invade Taiwan in the Next Five Years?

THE DAILY CALLER NEWS FOUNDATION—Chinese President Xi Jinping may not need to launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan to put the island, the U.S. and the global tech economy in crisis, according to national security experts.

Some advisers to President Donald Trump reportedly fear Xi could move against Taiwan within the next five years following Trump’s recent summit with the Chinese leader, Axios reported. One Trump adviser told the outlet the summit signaled a “much higher likelihood” that Taiwan could be “on the table” during that window, warning that the highly vulnerable U.S. semiconductor supply chain would not be ready for such a crisis.

National security experts told the Daily Caller News Foundation that this is simply not the reality on the ground.

“This is not accurate,” national security expert Brandon Weichert told the DCNF. “There is a wing of our intelligence community, and also weirdly in Israel, that really wants to gin up hostilities between us and China. There’s a litany of reasons for this, some of them are legitimate, some of them are ridiculous, but the bottom line is … simply no, this is not a real thing.”

“I believe it’s unlikely that China will invade Taiwan in the next five years,” Adam Savit, director of the China Policy Initiative at the America First Policy Institute, told the DCNF. “An amphibious invasion of that scale is incredibly difficult, and the political risks to the CCP regime are incredibly high.”

Trump had several goals for the U.S.-China summit, including assistance from China in opening the Strait of Hormuz, the export of critical minerals from China to the United States, the export of soybeans from the United States to China and Chinese purchases of U.S. aircraft from companies such as Boeing, Weichert told the DCNF. He said that all of those goals fell through.

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