The Coalition’s primary vote has plunged to its lowest level in Newspoll’s history, while support for One Nation has reached the double digits in three separate polls. Meanwhile, Labor has thumped the Liberals to win the NSW Kiama byelection.

The Newspoll conducted September 8–11 from a sample of 1,264 people, showed the Coalition’s primary vote sinking to just 27%, which is the worst since Newspoll began tracking party support in 1985.

Labor’s primary vote support held steady at 36%, while the Greens were at 13% (up one point), One Nation 10% (up one) and all others 14% (up one).

Labor also led the Coalition by 58–42% in the two-party-preferred estimate, a two-point gain for Labor since the August Newspoll.

In August, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s net approval reached positive territory for the first time since September 2023. However, he’s now lost eight points for a net approval of -5, with 50% dissatisfied and 45% satisfied.

Here is the graph of Albanese’s net approval in Newspoll with a trend line fitted. Albanese had negative ratings in the lead-up to the 2025 federal election, but Labor won by its largest margin since 1943.

Opposition Leader Sussan Ley also slumped eight points to a net approval of -17. Albanese led as better prime minister by an unchanged 51–31%.

One Nation has gained one point in Newspoll, two points in the Redbridge poll and three points in Resolve. Much of this gain is at the Coalition’s expense, with the Coalition down three points in Newspoll, two points in Resolve and one point in Redbridge.

Labor’s two-party share of 53.5% in the Redbridge poll is its lowest in any poll since the election, but it had 55% support in the Resolve poll and 58% in Newspoll.
The polls no longer understate the support for far-right........

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