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The lesson of NYC crime dropping is that ‘no bail’ is a terrible mistake

7 0
04.05.2026

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The lesson of NYC crime dropping is that ‘no bail’ is a terrible mistake

Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch released new crime statistics indicating that, compared to last April, crime in New York City last month was down 9.5% overall.

That is very good news, and kudos are due to her and to the men and women of the NYPD.

But before we start popping the champagne corks, we have to understand that comparing statistics year over year obscures the real crime story in NYC.

You really have to compare crime in NYC pre-bail reform to crime post-bail reform.

Crime in NYC began its historic rise not last April but in 2019 when bail reform was passed, releasing thousands of career criminals onto our streets.

While murders are down 14% from April 2019 to April 2026, robberies are up 8.8%, grand larcenies are up 9.4%, felony assaults up 50% and auto theft a whopping 171%.

NYC crime plunges — with murders at all-time low — as NYPD boss credits ‘unprecedented’ hiring of more cops

We are seven years into this bail-reform “experiment,” and felony index crime overall is up over 26%........

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