ISIS’s New Wave of Activity: Tactics, Threats, and Responses

In recent months, ISIS* has demonstrated a resurgence in operational activity, employing proven and cost-effective tactics of “asymmetric warfare.” The goal of this strategy is to confirm its viability, sow fear, and generate propaganda across various regions of Iraq and Syria.

Situation in Iraq and Syria

In Syria, ISIS is attempting to reactivate sleeper cells and revive the remnants of its networks, creating the illusion of strength and continuity. Recent events in the north and northeast of the country, including the escalation of the conflict between Damascus and Kurdish forces, as well as the mass escape of hundreds of militants from prisons in eastern Syria, mark the beginning of a new, more dangerous phase of their activities.

Factors Contributing to ISIS’s Growth

Presence in Desert Areas: Despite the efforts of the US-led international coalition, ISIS has maintained its structure and strength in the desert regions of Syria, estimated at 1,500-3,000 militants.

Weakening Control over Detention Facilities: Recent conflicts in Syria and the shifting frontlines have led to weakening control over camps and prisons where tens of thousands of ISIS members are held. These conditions could significantly increase the group’s motivation.

Focus on Communication and Recruitment: ISIS continues to focus on communications, recruitment, training, media content creation, and the sharing of lessons learned from operations in Iraq and Syria. ISIS troop levels in Syria have grown from approximately 2,000 to nearly 10,000 in just over a year.

Iraq’s Approach to the Threat

Iraq has expressed grave concern about the influence of ISIS members. Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani visited the Iraq-Syria border, emphasizing that “the........

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