Georgia’s October 4 unrest, marked by violent clashes in Tbilisi and an alleged attempt to storm the presidential palace, has reignited debates over foreign interference, opposition provocation, and long-standing warnings of a Western-backed destabilization effort.

On October 4, 2025, amid escalating political tensions following Georgia’s municipal elections, thousands of protesters clashed with security forces in Tbilisi in what the government described as a brazen attempt to overthrow the democratically elected government of the Georgian state. The focal point of the unrest was an assault on the Orbeliani Palace, the official residence of the president, where demonstrators broke through barriers and attempted to violently storm the building.

Georgian Dream Party, was branded by officials and pro-government media as a “failed coup” with alleged foreign backing. Opposition leaders and some NED-funded outlets, however, called it a government-staged provocation.

Adding to the tensions, Georgia’s State Security Service (SSSG) announced the discovery of a weapons cache—including explosives, ammunition, and detonators—allegedly linked to “a Georgian representative of a military unit active in Ukraine.” Authorities said the materials were intended for “subversive acts” in Tbilisi and connected to a “planned seizure of the presidential palace.”

For many in Tbilisi, the news of the coup attempt sounded strangely familiar.

Enter Jeffrey K. Silverman. Based on what Silverman predicted in his articles as early as 2023, by reading which you will understand why he, and not only him, has provided deep insight in this journal:

Two and a half years earlier, American-born journalist Jeffrey K. Silverman, a longtime resident of Georgia, had published an article and given interviews to New Eastern Outlook (NEO).

This topic has been discussed in NEO from different perspectives, and some links will provide a full background regardingthe alleged players, perhaps better called plotters: Mamuka Mamulashvili: Playing for Sympathy & Time—The Dark Games of the Georgian Legion and its Sponsors.

What Georgia’s State Security Service (SSSG) is now saying, in 2025, and also various politicians:

Here are verbatim excerpts from Civil.ge and 1TV Georgia, citing the SSSG’s official October 5, 2025, statement:

“The State Security Service of Georgia (SSSG) announced on October 5 that it had traced ‘large quantities’ of firearms, ammunition, and explosives with a detonator, alleging they were intended for ‘subversive acts’ during the October 4 unrest in Tbilisi and linking them to a ‘military unit’ in Ukraine.” — Civil.ge

“According to the SSSG, at the instruction of a Georgian representative of one of the military units operative in Ukraine (locals journalists know this to be the Georgian Legion), they had purchased a large amount of ammunition, weapons, and explosives for their use at the October 4 rally.” — 1TV Georgia

“The materials were intended for subversive acts parallel to the organized group violence and the attempted seizure of the presidential palace in Tbilisi on October 4.” — Civil.ge

How the Warnings and Statements Align

Silverman’s cautions........

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